Other than KU and Baylor, who else actually has faced and beaten elite teams? Probably some BIG10 teams, but mist of those will be home games.
Looking at the top teams in the Big East, there are some good wins, but they're all followed up with home losses.
Not too many teams are going into LSU and TT and coming out with a W. They may not be elite teams, but they are pretty damn good at home.
Since the loss to Ohio State in late December, UK has been on a tear, they have won the games they were supposed to win and a few they weren't favored to win.
When you look at the teams rated ahead of UK, there aren't too many that can say they are playing better than UK since 1/1/20. Everyone has ugly bruises.
At a glance, a 4 seems too low. But when you actually look at each of the teams 1-3, you can see how it could be justified.
I'd probably slide Kentucky ahead of Duke and/or Louisville right now, but it's close. Both of them have solid overall resumes even though they've shit the bed recently. The competition in the BE is pretty tough. I think their top three might be deserving of the projected seeds.
When I see Kentucky (which is only a few min here and there), they look pretty good. Solid interior D and some explosiveness offensively. Although I do think the SEC defenses are mostly weak.