No, I was only surprised by your Purdue and UNC choices, they surprised me and I really havehav made a big deal about that. You're deflecting from what I'm really making a big deal out of, which is your belief that a program that hasn't made a ff can't win it all. THAT'S what I'm making a big deal about, but you're deflecting from it and acting like I'm all about UNC and Purdue.
I didn't have Purdue on my list! Holy hell. They were the next ones out. I could have extended the list to 10 and included Tennessee, Kentucky, and Texas Tech as well. Then would you have this weird obsession? The 5 teams on my most likely win list were Duke, UVA, Michigan, Michigan State, and UNC. To suggest that any of those teams are outlandish picks to win it all is pure folly.
I've answered your first time programs in the FF question a dozen times. I'm not making up the facts. This isn't a blind test. All I'm doing is making the accurate statement that most programs making their first trip to the FF don't win it all in that first trip. How is that statement false in any way? I then proceeded to list multiple other reasons why this Tennessee team isn't in my top 5 most likely, which you willfully ignore over and over again.