The true test of evaluating teams by the common fan, is your honest non-message board opinion of opposing teams. I have a few buddies that can set aside hate/bias/homerism to give a real take on games against the hawks. Some guys literally cant see or acknowledge the oppositions strengths against your own teams weakness. The first thing I look at is the best game the opponent has played and then assume thats how they will play against the hawks. I rarely find myself over confident. You watch enough basketball---which i find i cant being a dad---the more in touch you feel with real threats on the schedule.