Man who knows. I know for me, I watch so little of other teams play that it is dependent on which game you see. There was a time when I thought Purdue had all the pieces...about a month ago Auburn seemed like an absolute juggernaut...Kentucky walked into AFH and pantsed Kansas, Baylor, Kansas & Texas tech have all looked like final four contenders...Arizona, when rolling is a blast to watch and Gonzaga can obviously go toe to toe with any team...thing is I have seen each of those teams look extremely pedestrian as well.
They are all playing in conference now and so the scouting is good, they know what each other are trying to do etc...but that will be different in the dance...especially the second games of the weekend where you only have a day to work on gameplan/etc.
it is fun to talk about but none of us will win our bracket pools, we know too damn much...it will be someone's kid or WAGs that just picked based off mascot or color.