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****Official B1G Off Season Thread****

Old B1G threads get deleted, do we keep everything as is?


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Zeb could definitely be one of those dark horse come out of nowhere players that nobody expects to be good and then he ends up being really good.
 
Player LeavingPlayer IncomingImpact
Ayo DosunmuAustin Hutchersondowngrade
Adam MillerAlfonso Plummerupgrade
Giorgi BezhanishviliOmar Paynepush
Tyler UnderwoodAnyone on earthdowngrade

Trent Frazier will be largely who he's always been.
Da'Monte Williams will be similar to last season, but I expect a drop off in 3pt%.
Jacob Grandison will be similar to last season.
Cockburn will be better. I'd bet 20 and 11.
Andre Curbelo will be better than last year. His shot is actually good if you look at his form. I'm not sure we see it this year, but he'll be a 33%+ guy. He will lead the league in assists, and I'm guessing he'll average 13-15 ppg.
Lol Plummer is not better than Miller, and Payne is not a push with the Alphabet. Downgrades across the board.
 
I don't think this happens because I think Jones is better than Mark Alstork, but look at his stats from a similar league and then the jump to the Big Ten. I'm interested to see if his shot is real, or if he reverts - FTs seem to indicate he should shoot well.

I was asking about the depth elsewhere though.

I mean he’s literally replacing someone who jumped from an even worse conference. And they played each other head to head at the G League tryouts and Jones looked every bit as good if not better than Smith. They literally guarded each other. Small sample sizes of course but nothing I’ve seen leads me to believe Mike Smith to Devante Jones should be a downgrade. (I know you didn’t say it, just answering your question).

 
May the best man win between sophomore Zeb Jackson and freshman Frankie Collins for the backup PG spot. Having depth there inherently gives us more depth at SG because Eli Brooks can play there exclusively.

Chaundee was a great 6th man but he had zero handle. When Mike Smith sat we had a Combo guard running point and a SF with no handle as his off guard and secondary ball handler. Our guard depth this year should help us avoid that.
 
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Lol Plummer is not better than Miller, and Payne is not a push with the Alphabet. Downgrades across the board.
Torvik disagrees on both counts. Sorry, troll.

Plummer can handle the ball. Miller couldn't. Plummer shoots better. Plummer defends better according to synergy. What's worse about him?
 
I mean he’s literally replacing someone who jumped from an even worse conference. And they played each other head to head at the G League tryouts and Jones looked every bit as good if not better than Smith. They literally guarded each other. Small sample sizes of course but nothing I’ve seen leads me to believe Mike Smith to Devante Jones should be a downgrade. (I know you didn’t say it, just answering your question).

I don't think he's Mark Alstork. Mike Smith was a special piece for you because he was a fantastic facilitator and he could get hot from 3. Jones isn't that piece. If he's running point after averaging 1.56 a/to in an inferior league, I'm interested to see what that looks like.

Who is replacing Wagner's output?
 
May the best man win between sophomore Zeb Jackson and freshman Frankie Collins for the backup PG spot. Having depth there inherently gives us more depth at SG because Eli Brooks can play there exclusively.

Chaundee was a great 6th man but he had zero handle. When Mike Smith sat we had a Combo guard running point and a SF with no handle as his off guard and secondary ball handler. Our guard depth this year should help us avoid that.

Pretty sure that's why Franz handled the ball as much as he did in the pick and roll - nobody could really handle the ball that well outside Smith.
 
Torvik disagrees on both counts. Sorry, troll.

Plummer can handle the ball. Miller couldn't. Plummer shoots better. Plummer defends better according to synergy. What's worse about him?
You are comparing freshman Miller to senior Plummer. Miller played in the big ten and Plummer played in the pac12.

If we are citing Torvik, then TJD is the best projected player in the Big Ten
 
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I don't think he's Mark Alstork. Mike Smith was a special piece for you because he was a fantastic facilitator and he could get hot from 3. Jones isn't that piece. If he's running point after averaging 1.56 a/to in an inferior league, I'm interested to see what that looks like.

Who is replacing Wagner's output?

Mike Smith was solid but I wouldn’t call him a “special piece”.

Smith a/t ratio in the Ivy League in 2019/20: 1.33
 
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You are comparing freshman Miller to senior Plummer. Miller played in the big ten and Plummer played in the pac12.

If we are citing Torvik, then TJD is the best projected player in the Big Ten
Adam Miller was very bad last year. I think people look at his ranking and think he was a stud. He was a walking turnover, couldn’t finish at the rim, and didn’t shoot well. He played hard and rebounded.

Honestly, I would’ve cared more if Trent didn’t return.
 
Comparing these two is really splitting hairs but here is Smith at Columbia vs Jones at Coastal Carolina. Smith is a better shooter, Jones is better inside the arc. Jones is a better defender and Smith is probably a better passer. I don’t think replacing one with the other means much either way.

1-C5133-A4-A641-498-D-8446-6-DB187-EE4-BF4.jpg


834-CD335-4862-4-C64-9970-AF24662-EFAD1.jpg
 
I don't think he's Mark Alstork. Mike Smith was a special piece for you because he was a fantastic facilitator and he could get hot from 3. Jones isn't that piece. If he's running point after averaging 1.56 a/to in an inferior league, I'm interested to see what that looks like.

Who is replacing Wagner's output?

I doubt Houstan will defend was well as Wagner but offensively I don’t think there’s a drop off there. Bigger drop off between Livers and Johns at the 4 for sure. But that difference can be made up but Dickinson improving from say 14ppg to 17ppg.
 
These were my homeboard projections for scoring back in July. Who actually wins the bench minutes is still a big question. Could just as easily be Williams or Jackson instead of people I listed. Heck Jackson or Collins could still start at PG (doubt it but idk).

I think around 40ppg from the 2-5 is about right though.


Davante Jones 10ppg
Eli Brooks 10ppg
Caleb Houstan 13ppg
Brandon Johns 10ppg
Hunter Dickinson 16ppg

Mousa Diabate 8ppg
Frankie Collins 6ppg
Kobe Bufkin 6ppg
Rest of bench 6ppg


no I don’t think we score 85ppg as a team but that’s not how PPG works because of missed games
 
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Yeah I saw he’s really rounded into form the last month.

Most of my perception is skewed from that nightmare game in late June where the Cubs beat him up in the first to go up 7-0 and then gave up 15 unanswered (lol).

I will maintain I don’t think you can replicate what Williams does. He probably has the most lethal change up in baseball.
That was his major league debut and he was told late he was going to start due to a late scratch. He’s a stud.
 
Getting out ahead of the PSU beat down tomorrow in remembrance of when IU fans actually thought they had like a top 35 program lmao

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Pike has been pretty balanced in his preseason evaluation of our teams so this has me a bit excited. That written, I think our B1G schedule is pretty tough: @Ill, PU, UM first three and we play three of the widely considered bottom four teams only once and all away (@PSU, @NW, @Minny). I think we are again an 11-9/10-10 team even if this team is as good as Pike believes.

But I do agree that we will be (at least) decent and a pain in the arse to play again.
Yeah, I did forget you got screwed on the schedule. That might drop you to 6th or 7th but still might be the 5th best team.
 
I can’t imagine the cesspool this place would be if Illinois made the elite 8, returned 3 starters from that run, and brought in the #1 recruiting class in the country. (And that’s before we consider wildcards like Devante Jones, Terrence Williams, and Zeb Jackson).
It would pretty much be you but with 5 times the number of people saying it.
 
Getting out ahead of the PSU beat down tomorrow in remembrance of when IU fans actually thought they had like a top 35 program lmao

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I will put my foot down here. They’re going to get worked tonight, but I think they could still end up being in that 35ish range at the end of the season. It’s clearly been a nightmare start, but losses to a top 5 Iowa team that has dominated everyone they’ve played and a top 10 UC team that is going to beat ND don’t eliminate them from that range.

The Michigan and Michigan State games will be the true gauge of where IU fits in the college football landscape at the micro level. I will note that there’s a pretty considerable drop off as you get to the back half of the top 25. I think they can be a top 30-40 team and still not be very good.
 
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You are comparing freshman Miller to senior Plummer. Miller played in the big ten and Plummer played in the pac12.

If we are citing Torvik, then TJD is the best projected player in the Big Ten
Yes? Miller was streaky and one dimensional. He’ll be better as a sophomore I’m sure, but Plummer can easily replicate his production. He was the second best 3 point shooter in the PAC12. That translates.

And Torvik has Kofi above TJD too. Until TJD can shoot and play with his off hand there are 3/4 bigs that are above him in conference.
 
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I’m super nervous for the game MSU gane against Western Kentucky. Their Qb is great and they almost beat Indiana last week. It would be such a let down to lose this one.
 
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