Updated top 25 from The Athletic:
13. Purdue
Previous: 12
Projected starters: Braden Smith,
Fletcher Loyer,
Camden Heide,
Trey Kaufman-Renn,
Caleb Furst
Top reserves: Myles Colvin, Daniel Jacobsen (freshman),
Will Berg, Kanon Catchings (freshman), Gicarri Harris (freshman), Raleigh Burgess (freshman), Brian Waddell
Purdue’s KenPom finishes in the five years that proceeded the
Zach Edey era: 9, 19, 5, 9, 24. It’s going to be difficult to replace Edey, but Matt Painter won a lot of basketball games before Edey showed up and he’ll continue to do so. Painter has a really good core returning, led by Smith, who became a killer in pick-and-roll last season as both a scorer and distributor. If you asked college coaches to rank the best point guards in the country, he’d be near the top.
Purdue got a head start on what life without Edey would be like last summer when it went on a foreign tour without him and Kaufman-Renn led the team in scoring. Painter also has three centers on the bench who could be next in line as dominant low-post scorers. The 7-foot-2 Berg has been learning behind Edey the last two years, and then Painter signed two centers in Jacobsen and Burgess. Jacobsen was a standout last weekend at the tryouts for the U.S. U-18 team. When I asked two coaches there who stood out, both mentioned Jacobsen, with one saying he’ll eventually be a star. He’s 7-3, skilled and playing at Purdue, so odds are in his favor.
Previous: Not ranked
Projected starters: Tre Donaldson (transfer),
Rubin Jones (transfer),
Roddy Gayle Jr. (transfer),
Danny Wolf (transfer),
Vladislav Goldin (transfer)
Top reserves: Nimari Burnett,
Sam Walters (transfer),
Will Tschetter, Justin Pippen (freshman), Durral Brooks (freshman)
It’s hard to completely turn over a roster and have a cohesive group in Year 1, but this is a bet on Dusty May pulling it off. May is really good at role definition and getting his guys to buy in. The Wolverines are going to be huge, starting the 7-foot twin towers and then bringing shooters off the bench in the 6-foot-10 Walters and 6-foot-8 Tschetter. Walters can play the three, Gayle (6-4) could play the two and Jones (6-5) can play the point, so May could conceivably play one of the biggest lineups in college basketball. And you could make an argument that has the potential to be Michigan’s best lineup. May just coached the team that ranked No. 1 in minutes continuity and 276th in average height, so this will be a different challenge. But out of the total portal rebuilds, this is the one I’m betting on that the pieces fit best.
Previous: NR
Projected starters: Myles Rice (transfer),
Trey Galloway,
Mackenzie Mgbako,
Malik Reneau, Oumar Ballo (transfer)
Top reserves: Canaan Carlyle (transfer),
Luke Goode (transfer), Bryson Tucker (freshman),
Gabe Cupps,
Anthony Leal,
Langdon Hatton (transfer),
Rob Dockery (redshirt freshman), George Turkson (freshman)
If going by portal rankings and name recognition, no one had a better offseason than Indiana. Mike Woodson has shown a preference for playing through the post, and he has two of the best low-post scorers in the Big Ten now in Reneau and Ballo. Indiana had spacing issues last year, but Rice, Carlyle and Goode should help. Rice (27.5 percent) and Carlyle (32 percent) did not shoot the ball well from 3 as freshmen, but both are good foul shooters and it’s within reason to expect progression from deep based on their mechanics and skill. Both should also help in the shot creation department, which was an issue for the Hoosiers last year. Overall, Indiana is just way more talented and deep. Cupps, who started last year, might be sixth in line on IU’s depth chart at guard. All that guard depth also will allow IU some lineup versatility. When one of the bigs goes to the bench, Mgbako can slide to the four and get more shooting and skill on the floor. It’s a huge year for Woodson. Based on this class, Indiana’s donors are coming through financially, but that could quickly change if results don’t follow.
20. Illinois
Previous: NR
Projected starters: Kylan Boswell (transfer), Kasparas Jakucionis (freshman),
Ty Rodgers,
Carey Booth (transfer), Tomislav Ivisic (freshman)
Top reserves: Tre White (transfer),
Ben Humrichous (transfer),
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn,
Jake Davis (transfer), Morez Johnson (freshman)
This could look like a reach to put Illinois this high, but Brad Underwood has earned the trust. Underwood has prioritized size and skill, and this roster is oozing with upside. Underwood got busy in the portal early and then topped off his class with two international signings whom I’m projecting will both start. Jakucionis, a 6-5 guard, is one of the best young prospects overseas. An NBA scouting contact mentioned Kirk Hinrich as a comp. If Jakucionis were an American, he’d likely be one of the five-stars in this class. Ivisic, a 7-footer, is the twin brother of current Arkansas and ex-Kentucky big man
Zvonimir Ivisic.
Illinois also added four transfers who play the three or four and stand between 6-6 and 6-10, all of whom can shoot. And the other two freshmen, Johnson and Jason Jakstys, are 6-9 and 6-10 power forwards. Jakucionis, Boswell and Rodgers will be the keys to making it work, as Underwood has gone to a strategy of spreading the floor and leaning on his guards to create advantages. Look for all three to get a shot at continuing the booty ball offense that the Illini adopted for
Marcus Domask.