The game is more physical and the offenses are mire dpread out than they were just 8 years ago. The ones thriving are the older teams that have cohesiveness and a strong bond.
It’s really hard for freshmen to overcome the large step from HS to college, now I feel like it's even harder than it used to be.
Can a young team win? Well, yeah, but they better be really special to overcome the many hurdles a young team has to face. There just isn’t enough time in a season to teach these kids everything they need to know to win when the heat is at it's hottest.
I can say the same thing about veteran teams. Can a veteran team win? Well, yeah, but they'd better be really special to overcome the many hurdles a team lacking 50 NBA players has to face.
How many old teams fail? How many fail miserably? Now what percentage of OAD-laden teams fail to make a decent run in the tourney? Not too many. With a large percentage going to the Elite 8 or further.
Yeah, young teams HAVE won at the highest levels, but the last one to do it, was 2015 duke. Like I said, the game is much more physical and spread out than it used to be.
2022 Duke started 3 OADs. Went to the final four and looked like the team to beat for much of the tourney.
How many teams in that span have been full of highly-rated young talent? The number of these teams is far, far lower than the number of "old" teams. There are only two programs that consistently have a bunch of highly-rated young players. And they don't always have the right mix. And/or questionable coaching. When you're comparing Kentucky/Duke to....everyone else....obviously the field is going to have higher odds of producing a national champ.
Why do you never factor in coaching? You rag on Calipari and want him out, yet at the same time you act like he's getting as much out of these teams as any other coach could.
Let's turn it around. Do you see Calipari winning it all with '19 Virginia, '22 KU, or last year's UConn? Or nearly winning it all with '19 Texas Tech or '22 UNC? I don't.