“Right now,” at least to me, implies three main things:Tried really hard to think of a Big Ten team I would put in front of them. Considered a few, wouldn't hurt my feelings if someone else did rank them higher.
1) How good was your team this past season? AKA, how good can your fans feel about the season that just wrapped up?
2) How good will your team be this upcoming season? AKA, how good can your fans feel about next year’s team?
3) How good is your current level of recruiting? AKA, can your fans feel confident that the current level of success isn’t on seriously borrowed time?
Using those three, I would argue that Illinois and Michigan can at least make an argument to be ahead of TTU … probably slightly in favor of Michigan.
1) Illini lost in the Second Round to a great Houston team, but they were Big Ten champs. Michigan had a rough regular season, but they once again made the second weekend of the NCAAs. Michigan had a worse regular season but an equal postseason (Sweet Sixteen), while Illinois had a similar regular season (4 seed slightly worse than a 3 seed, but ILL won its conference).
2) Assuming Kofi is back (as is the rumor) and pending another rumored transfer addition for Illinois, both will be projected to be near the top of the Big Ten. Clear edge to Michigan here, as they look primed for a great year, but both are projected above Texas Tech on the lists I just looked up.
3) Both Illinois and Michigan are pretty significantly out-recruiting Texas Tech, with MICH at the #7 class for 2022 and ILL at #8, while TTU is at #28.
Minor side note, but I also think the Big Ten is more “wide open,” possibly making it easier for Illinois and Michigan to continue to get higher seeds, “deserved or not.”
Could have thrown other B1G programs in, but I choose to pick these two just as an example argument. Purdue doesn’t look to be going anywhere, but their fans were likely a bit more disappointed about this past season. Similarly, MSU is looking like they’ll rebound, buy they’re close enough to Izzo’s retirement that maybe that is a lingering thought (meanwhile, Howard and Underwood look to be set there for several years). Wisconsin will be fine, as they always are, but their recruiting is a bit behind their other conference rivals. Etc., etc.