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This years champ will be worst in last 20 years

I agree with your statements; however, every year the B1G is over rated and end up with a bunch of teams in the NCAA. In November and December Kentucky split with Ohio State and Michigan State. That was the early UK team that lost to Evansville and Utah. But that same team beat Louisville and Georgia Tech.

The SEC is lacking in elite teams but I doubt that the B1G is much better.

The Big 12 had this effect recently as well. There's a bump at the conference level for quality depth and lack of a crappy bottom end. But that doesn't necessarily mean much for title contenders.
 
I agree with your statements; however, every year the B1G is over rated and end up with a bunch of teams in the NCAA. In November and December Kentucky split with Ohio State and Michigan State. That was the early UK team that lost to Evansville and Utah. But that same team beat Louisville and Georgia Tech.

The SEC is lacking in elite teams but I doubt that the B1G is much better.

Well, Kentucky beat Louisville at home in overtime. Not exactly a convincing win. Home games are generally considered to net gain roughly 8 points. And Georgia Tech is 6-8 in the ACC (and they played w/o Alvarado).

Also, I disagree with the Big Ten being overrated. If anything, they've probably been undervalued over the years. The Big Ten has had 16 Final Four teams this century - and only 8 #1 seeds. That's a 2:1 ratio. Which is really, really impressive.

1 seeds (8)
Michigan State: 2000, 2001, 2012
Illinois: 2005
Indiana: 2013
Ohio State: 2007, 2011
Wisconsin: 2015

Final Fours (16)
Michigan State: 2000, 2001, 2005, 2009, 2010, 2015, 2019
Wisconsin: 2000, 2014, 2015
Indiana: 2002
Illinois: 2005
Ohio State: 2007, 2012
Michigan: 2013, 2018
 
NIT this year gotta sting though, right Champ?

Meh I can handle a NIT appearance a year after winning a natty. We lost 6 players from last year's roster. We still have a decent chance at the tourney but I won't be worried if we miss it. We should rebound just fine next year with a very good recruiting class and Sam Hauser.
 
auburn is winning most of of our conference games. We also went perfect in the non conference. Of course Ken doesn’t put any premium on winning though. If only we could be an “efficient” 13-9

He does have the luck category, which Auburn is ranked #1 in the country. The luck ranking measures the deviation between a team's actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its efficiency numbers. Simply put, a team that's in a lot of close games, will win close to 50% of those contests. Auburn is 12-0 in single-digit games, including 5 overtimes and one regulation buzzer-beater. That is not normal.

On top of that, 9 of those 12 close wins are against teams ranked outside of the top 50. So you're talking about a lot of close wins against sub-par competition. When you factor in two blowout losses, it's really not that surprising that Auburn's ranking is so low, in spite of a very impressive record.
 
He does have the luck category, which Auburn is ranked #1 in the country. The luck ranking measures the deviation between a team's actual winning percentage and what one would expect from its efficiency numbers. Simply put, a team that's in a lot of close games, will win close to 50% of those contests. Auburn is 12-0 in single-digit games, including 5 overtimes and one regulation buzzer-beater. That is not normal.

On top of that, 9 of those 12 close wins are against teams ranked outside of the top 50. So you're talking about a lot of close wins against sub-par competition. When you factor in two blowout losses, it's really not that surprising that Auburn's ranking is so low, in spite of a very impressive record.

i think kens rankings are good to look at for gambling purposes. He just doesn’t value winning enough to be taken seriously for much else though
 
One loss doesn't have a devastating impact on any decent system.

Not according to almost all "bracketologists." Evansville is in the 300s and that is the most often mentioned reason where UK is concerned. I don't put a lot of stock into them personally, and never have.
 
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i think kens rankings are good to look at for gambling purposes. He just doesn’t value winning enough to be taken seriously for much else though

lol his "rankings" are based on efficiency margins, not wins and losses.

We don't know the exact algorithm, but it's essentially points scored per 100 possessions (adjusted for SOS) minus points scored against per 100 possessions (adjusted for SOS).

Auburn has won A LOT of close games. And often against sub-50 teams. They've also been blown out twice. It's really not surprising. You're one of the very few posters that doesn't value KenPom. Not sure I can take you seriously if you insist that his system has little to no value.
 
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lol his "rankings" are based on efficiency margins, not wins and losses.

We don't know the exact algorithm, but it's essentially points scored per 100 possessions (adjusted for SOS) minus points scored against per 100 possessions (adjusted for SOS).

Auburn has won A LOT of close games. And often against sub-50 teams. They've also been blown out twice. It's really not surprising. You're one of the very few posters that doesn't value KenPom. Not sure I can take you seriously if you insist that his system has little to no value.

i didn’t say it had little to no value. It has value but you fanboys that think it’s absolute gospel are hilarious. Winning is all that matters. Douche nerds can’t track being clutch and having heart though...
 
i didn’t say it had little to no value. It has value but you fanboys that think it’s absolute gospel are hilarious. Winning is all that matters. Douche nerds can’t track being clutch and having heat though...

But you're mostly being clutch against sub-par teams. The two nice wins came at home, which usually renders a nice advantage. That's the point. Yes, Auburn is a good team. Top 25, no question. Just not convinced they're actually a title contender.
 
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But you're mostly being clutch against sub-par teams. The two nice wins came at home, which usually renders a nice advantage. That's the point. Yes, Auburn is a good team. Top 25, no question. Just not convinced they're actually a title contender.

You guys lost to Stephen f Austin at home. That’s one of the worst losses in the power 5. Why I am not convinced duke is much of a title contender either. We can both play this game
 
Can I get some video of this Auburn-Virginia ending? I don't really remember what happened that was so controversial.
 
You guys lost to Stephen f Austin at home. That’s one of the worst losses in the power 5. Why I am not convinced duke is much of a title contender either. We can both play this game

You really think that was one of the worst losses by a power school? SF Austin is 22-3. If you really value records, then that contradicts your original argument. At any rate, Duke is 6-3 in single-digit games.

Tell you what, I'll say Auburn doesn't make the Sweet 16. One month avatar bet.
 
Can I get some video of this Auburn-Virginia ending? I don't really remember what happened that was so controversial.

I put it in a spoiler so it doesn't trigger Auburn fans

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You really think that was one of the worst losses by a power school? SF Austin is 22-3. If you really value records, then that contradicts your original argument. At any rate, Duke is 6-3 in single-digit games.

Tell you what, I'll say Auburn doesn't make the Sweet 16. One month avatar bet.

if Auburn has a healthy okoro I am down for this bet. If not I am not taking this bet with your lottery pick out.
 
i didn’t say it had little to no value. It has value but you fanboys that think it’s absolute gospel are hilarious. Winning is all that matters. Douche nerds can’t track being clutch and having heart though...

Here's the funny part. You say that winning is all that matters. UVA won because they were clutch and had great heart too. I am sure Auburn has gotten plenty of calls in these close games this year that helped them win. I doubt you will admit that. The difference is no one is watching your stupid ****ing games to bitch about it.
 
Here's the funny part. You say that winning is all that matters. UVA won because they were clutch and had great heart too. I am sure Auburn has gotten plenty of calls in these close games this year that helped them win. I doubt you will admit that. The difference is no one is watching your stupid ****ing games to bitch about it.

No ref has missed a double dribble. You guys had the benefit of 4 straight games with officials helping decide the outcome. Purdue, and Texas tech fans greatly agree. Worst national champions in my life time
 
lol would you like to wait until the bracket is unveiled, too? You previously said Auburn was a title contender. Should be a pretty easy bet for a title contender.
If he have a healthy okoro I don’t need to see the brackets. Without okoro auburn is not a title contender at all. The dude will be a top 5 pick. Latest mocks have him going third or 4th. The dude may be out for the year now. Let’s take duke’s best player off the team in any of there title runs and you don’t win shit either
 
If he have a healthy okoro I don’t need to see the brackets. Without okoro auburn is not a title contender at all. The dude will be a top 5 pick. Latest mocks have him going third or 4th. The dude may be out for the year now. Let’s take duke’s best player off the team in any of there title runs and you don’t win shit either

Probably don't win the title, but I'd still take the bet for a Sweet 16 run.
 
LOL just like any title won by a Pearl-coached team would be. Fortunately, we won't have to worry about whether Auburn's titles are tainted or not because you won't win shit.

nothing is more tainted than a title won by the most racist and white supremacist school in the country
 
Is the argument over whether or not Guy got fouled?

Because that's a foul and I don't think you can argue against that.

Let me keep looking, I know something happened just before that play as well.
Ok. I see the double dribble now. I remember all of this.

I am in the @AuHoosier420 camp on this one that the refs blew it at the end but I also understand that plays like that get missed all the time. It's just part of the game. I'm sure we could find a half dozen missed calls that did go Auburn's way in that game.
 
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would apply this season as well.

Last year we had an 8-man rotation that was largely contingent upon 2 players. Ball movement was lacking, shooting was lacking. This team is 10 players deep, they shoot better, and they're not overly reliant on 1 or 2 players. Duke came back 13 points to UNC when Carey fouled out. Not sure if Carey or Tre is more important, but I'd still take my chances as a 2 seed to win two games with one of them missing.

And for your own good, you probably don't want to compare Okoro to Zion. Zion has the highest player efficiency rating ever recorded, which is twice the number of Okoro (40.8 to 19.6).
 
Last year we had an 8-man rotation that was largely contingent upon 2 players. Ball movement was lacking, shooting was lacking. This team is 10 players deep, they shoot better, and they're not overly reliant on 1 or 2 players. Duke came back 13 points to UNC when Carey fouled out. Not sure if Carey or Tre is more important, but I'd still take my chances as a 2 seed to win two games with one of them missing.

And for your own good, you probably don't want to compare Okoro to Zion. Zion has the highest player efficiency rating ever recorded, which is twice the number of Okoro (40.8 to 19.6).

You are bragging about a come back win verses North Carolina? Unc is absolute dog shit this year. Congrats though I guess....
 
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