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*Official* B1G In-Season Thread

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King Kong needs to come back just to break Patrick.
 
How they fared:

Bubble games today (NET ranking in parentheses):
12PM ET Clemson (36) vs NC State (32) - Clemson probably needs the win more
5:30 PM Colorado (69) vs California - Colorado needs to go on a run in the PAC12 and still might not get in
7:00 PM Butler (63) vs Providence (75) - Both have a fair amount of work to do
7:00 PM Oklahoma State vs TCU (47) - TCU needs to win today to feel more comfortable
9:00 PM WVU vs Oklahoma (39) - Oklahoma should be in but is best served not to lose to a terrible WVU team
9:00 PM Pitt vs Syracuse (44) - Syracuse needs to beat Pitt and may need another win
9:30 PM Depaul vs St. Johns (66) - St. Johns likely needs a run deep into the Big East tournament
11:30 PM WSU vs Oregon (61) - Oregon likely needs a run deep into the Pac 12 tournament

Clemson and Oklahoma were the big losers. Clemson is very likely done. Most think Oklahoma still gets in. Butler also ended their last faint hope,

All other bubble teams did what they were supposed to do.
 
How they fared:

Bubble games today (NET ranking in parentheses):
12PM ET Clemson (36) vs NC State (32) - Clemson probably needs the win more
5:30 PM Colorado (69) vs California - Colorado needs to go on a run in the PAC12 and still might not get in
7:00 PM Butler (63) vs Providence (75) - Both have a fair amount of work to do
7:00 PM Oklahoma State vs TCU (47) - TCU needs to win today to feel more comfortable
9:00 PM WVU vs Oklahoma (39) - Oklahoma should be in but is best served not to lose to a terrible WVU team
9:00 PM Pitt vs Syracuse (44) - Syracuse needs to beat Pitt and may need another win
9:30 PM Depaul vs St. Johns (66) - St. Johns likely needs a run deep into the Big East tournament
11:30 PM WSU vs Oregon (61) - Oregon likely needs a run deep into the Pac 12 tournament

Clemson and Oklahoma were the big losers. Clemson is very likely done. Most think Oklahoma still gets in. Butler also ended their last faint hope,

All other bubble teams did what they were supposed to do.

I saw yesterday that even with the loss, Clemson has a 74% chance to make the tournament.
 
One of the guys on our board does some professional analysis on the tournament, and he's really good at it. IU fans, I think you're going to have to win the BTT to even have a shot.
 
You've got me convinced.
I'm not saying he's the final say, but he's really accurate with his predictions. I've told some people about his "Dirty Dozen" where he predicts 12 of the top 24 tournament teams that will not win the championship. He's done it for over a decade, but he's not been wrong yet.

2018:
10th annual...the 12 teams (out of the top 24) that will NOT win the NCAA championship.
Obviously, there are no guarantees. A little something to talk about. Here’s to a great three weeks of basketball and may your office pool pour funds into your pocket!


1) Purdue
2) UNC
3) Texas Tech
4) Michigan
5) Arizona
6) Wichita St
7) Auburn
8) W. Virginia
9) Ohio St
10) Florida
11) TCU
12) Houston

2017:
The Dirty Dozen is purely for fun and offers no guarantees of individual bracket success. It's the result of a matrix developed over time that eliminates the past successes or failures of a team or coach and evaluates each team solely on this season. Since its inception in 2009, it has never been wrong - no team landing on the Dirty Dozen in the past eight years has won the NCAA championship.

2017 Dirty Dozen

1) Kansas
2) Gonzaga
3) Duke
4) Baylor
5) Oregon
6) Florida St.
7) Butler
8) Iowa St.
9) Notre Dame
10) Minnesota
11) SMU
12) Creighton

2016:
Here it is...

Just a little background (since a couple of you had asked)...

This takes research that I've done on the NCAA tournament since 1998 and I first put it to use in 2009. That year, I won two office pools and more than $1,000.

Life has gotten in the way of me entering pools every year, but I've still won another $500 in three pools since and I'm entering a winner take all this year\ at work.

To the amazement of many (including myself), this has been perfect all seven years. I pit the top 24 teams again a matrix made up of eight markers. The violation of any of those markers lands a team on the Dozen...and no Dozen team has ever won it all. In 2014, Florida reached the Final Four. In 2015, unbeaten Kentucky reached the Final Four and Wisconsin played in the title game. Personally, I thought last year was the year it would fail, but was pleasantly surprised that it held up.

Will the Dozen do it again? Who knows. But here it is. Have fun and enjoy the games!

2016 Dirty Dozen - the 12 teams that will NOT win the NCAA Championship (use at your own risk!):

1) Kansas
2) Oregon
3) Xavier
4) Miami
5) Texas A&M
6) Iowa St.
7) Duke
8) Maryland
9) Baylor
10) Indiana
11) Purdue
12) Arizona
 
I saw yesterday that even with the loss, Clemson has a 74% chance to make the tournament.
That's interesting. I know they've had a bunch of close losses but they've also had a bunch of losses and going 1-10 against Quad 1 has to mean something.

I still would rather have a Belmont or Lipscomb in the tournament than a P6 team that is just a few games above .500.
 
I'm not saying he's the final say, but he's really accurate with his predictions. I've told some people about his "Dirty Dozen" where he predicts 12 of the top 24 tournament teams that will not win the championship. He's done it for over a decade, but he's not been wrong yet.

2018:


2017:


2016:

Picking who won't win the Championship isn't the same as picking who will make the tournament.
 
That's interesting. I know they've had a bunch of close losses but they've also had a bunch of losses and going 1-10 against Quad 1 has to mean something.

I still would rather have a Belmont or Lipscomb in the tournament than a P6 team that is just a few games above .500.

Same here. I'd like to see UNCG make it, too.
 
That's interesting. I know they've had a bunch of close losses but they've also had a bunch of losses and going 1-10 against Quad 1 has to mean something.

I still would rather have a Belmont or Lipscomb in the tournament than a P6 team that is just a few games above .500.

Should be seeing a new chart soon. I’ll bring it over here. Clemson I think is done. IU OSU winner should be in the field
 
JFC...are you really trying to take the diarrhea spewed by the worst trolls/morons on GBI like BCK or Waynow and pass it off as representative of the overall Purdue fanbase? This is one of the worst fcking posts I’ve seen in awhile. GKY.

Lol go kill myself? Props on your forumspeak but I think that's a little much, even for a troll like you.
 
He does multiple cbb analyses. One is a predictor of the teams that will make the tournament. One is of 12 of the top 24 teams that won't win the tourney. He hasn't released his bubble teams yet, but he has IU as squarely in the NIT.
 
Got it. So maybe share his success with picking the field for the tournament?
He hasn't released this year's predictions yet other than to say that he's perplexed that IU is currently being talked about as a bubble team by some.

Edit: Last year's:

This is long...I apologize at the top.


Let the fun begin!

A year ago, I correctly picked all 68 teams in the field for the 1st time...I can't see that happening this year. There are far too many variables in play on the bubble. I can't recall a year with so many teams on the bubble with less than 3 "bad losses". That alone makes this one of the most competitive fields in years.

That said, here is my field as of 9:00 EDT this morning:

1) Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2) UNC, Cincinnati, Duke, Purdue
3) Auburn, Tennessee, Michigan St., Clemson
4) Kentucky, Arizona, Michigan, Texas Tech
5) Gonzaga, Ohio St, Wichita St, Florida
6) Rhode Island, Texas A&M, Miami, TCU
7) W. Virginia, Nevada, Seton Hall, Houston
8) Oklahoma, Arkansas, Alabama, Missouri
9) Syracuse, Creighton, UCLA, Providence
10) St. Bonaventure, Butler, USC, Texs
11) Loyola, Baylor, MTSU vs. Arizona St, Kansas St vs. Marquette
12) New Mexico St, Murray St., Buffalo, S. Dakota St
13) Bucknell, San Diego St, UNC-Greensboro, Charleston
14) Wright St, SF Austin, Montana, Marshall
15) (Sun Belt champ), (Ivy League champ), Lipscomb, Iona
16) CS Fullerton, Radford, LIU-Brooklyn vs NC Central, Texas Southern vs UMBC

Last 4 in - MTSU, Arizona St, Kansas St, Marquette
First 4 out - NC State, Va Tech, Washington, Florida St
Next 4 out - Utah, Louisville, Notre Dame, Temple
NIT hopefuls - Oklahoma St, Nebraska, St. Mary's, Boise St

I'm still tweaking my seed lines and of course will have to drop a team if Davidson wins today (I will be at the A-10 Final this afternoon). I literally had 9 teams vying for the last 4 spots -- all with strong resumes and all with flaws.

While "the bar" moves year to year depending on the field, the committee universally likes to reward teams that go out and schedule well. So I used that in an attempt to define the bottom of the field.

MTSU - played the 9th rated non-conference schedule. 3-3 vs. top 50, 4-6 vs top 100. That's 10 games vs. the RPI top 100 without the benefit of a major conference schedule. That's impressive. I don't think the committee will let the one hiccup - loss to RPI #205 Southern Miss in CUSA quarters - ruin their season. We'll see.

ASU - struggled in Pac 12 play, but still had a respectable non-conference schedule (compared to other bubble teams) and went 5-3 vs. top 50, the only winning record in that category among the bubbles.

K-State - horrendous non-conference schedule (#326), but they get the reluctant nod with 5 wins vs. top 50 and the only remaining bubble team without a loss outside the top 100. While the committee has to be careful not to give too much love to conference records (hello Nebraska!), the Wildcats did win 10 in a highly-competitive Big 12 that landed (by my predictions) a whopping 8 teams in the field.

Marquette - 5 wins vs top 50 and stronger non-conference slate (#133) than most remaining teams. Like ASU, Wojo's boys played just 5 games outside the top 200.

Tough to leave out NC State, Va Tech, and Washington. The first two each with 4 wins vs. the RPI top 50. But both with terrible schedules (#263 & #326, respectively) and NC State stumbled twice outside the top 100.

I can't put Louisville in the field with an 0-11 mark vs. the top 50. Florida State has 6 wins vs. top 50, but again horrible scheduling (#312) could be their undoing.

I could be very wrong, but this could be a year when the unbalanced scheduling of the Power 5 conferences comes back to bite them. Rare to see a top 40 RPI major conference team (Louisville) left out of the field and multiple P5 teams (Nebraska, NC State, Utah, Va Tech, Washington) be snubbed despite double-digit conference wins.

Anyway, something to chat about and debate as we wait for 6pm ET.

He made tweaks to this in the thread prior to the selection, but I'm not going to go through those.
 
Bubble games today 3/14/19

NET rank in parentheses:

12:00 Providence (69) vs Villanova (25) - Today gets Providence closer if they can knock off Nova
12:00 NC State (32) vs Virginia (1) - NC State probably cemented their bid with yesterday's win over Clemson. Today is probably a seed line if they win
12:30 Indiana (51) vs Ohio State (55) - Both teams need today's win. They may also need to beat MSU tomorrow as well.
12:30 Iowa State (23) vs Baylor (37) - Baylor should be secure but would lock it down with a win today.
1:00 Arkansas (63) vs Florida (33) - Arkansas needs to win a couple and maybe the SEC tournament. Florida gets closer to the bubble with a win but likely still needs to beat LSU as well.
2:30 TCU (48) vs KSU (24) - TCU likely feels good after yesterday's win. They'd be a lock if they beat KSU today.
2:30 Creighton (54) vs Xavier (70) - Both these teams need to win today and at least one more and may need to win the Big East Tournament to feel secure depending on who they would play tomorrow.
3:00 USC (92) vs Washington (39) - One would think a P6 champ with 24 wins would feel secure but the Pac 12 is so bad that Washington might get nervous if they blow this game to a pedestrian USC team
3:00 Tulane vs Memphis (53)_ - This game isn't going to move the needle for Memphis given their atrocious (3-11) Quad1 /Quad2 record. But if they reach the American Final in their home gym, things might look different
5:30 Colorado (72) vs Oregon State (84) - Still a lot of work to do for Colorado
7:00 St Johns (64) vs Marquette (29) - The Johnies lock up a spot with a win over Marquette
7:00 PSU (49) vs Minnesota (56) - The Gophers will feel pretty secure with a win over the Nits
7:00 Alabama (59) vs Ole Miss (36) - Ole Miss should be in. Bama needs to win a couple to get to the bubble
9:00 Texas (38) vs Kansas (20) - Some think Texas gets in with a win. I think they need a couple.
9:00 UCLA vs Arizona State (67) - ASU probably needs the PAC12 final.
9:30 Georgetown (78) vs Seton Hall (62) - Seton Hall is probably in with a win. Georgetown still would have work to do.
11:30 Oregon (57) vs Utah (101) - Oregon gets closer to the bubble with a win
 
He does multiple cbb analyses. One is a predictor of the teams that will make the tournament. One is of 12 of the top 24 teams that won't win the tourney. He hasn't released his bubble teams yet, but he has IU as squarely in the NIT.

I’ll go with the guys who rank the best Delphi and bracketmatrix who already have Indiana in the field and a win today solidifies it.
 
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