Post 'em here. Post your school. Post your mom's school....and then provide pics of mom.
Thanks in advance!
Thanks in advance!
NCAA Tournament Seed Predictions
- Thread starter EvilMonkeyInTheCloset
- Start date
In all seriousness, here's how I think the Top 4 seeds end up:
East-
1. Michigan
2. Alabama
3. Villanova
4. West Virginia
West-
1. Gonzaga
2. Ohio State
3. Kansas
4. Purdue
South-
1. Baylor
2. Iowa
3. Virginia
4. USC
Midwest-
1. Illinois
2. Houston
3. Arkansas
4. Florida State
East-
1. Michigan
2. Alabama
3. Villanova
4. West Virginia
West-
1. Gonzaga
2. Ohio State
3. Kansas
4. Purdue
South-
1. Baylor
2. Iowa
3. Virginia
4. USC
Midwest-
1. Illinois
2. Houston
3. Arkansas
4. Florida State
I think Nova drops to a 4. Losing Gillespie hurts a lot.
I'm also trying to figure out how OSU is a 2. I don't see it unless they go deep in the BTT.
I'm also trying to figure out how OSU is a 2. I don't see it unless they go deep in the BTT.
3 unless they have a disaster in KC.
Your mom's a 16 seed. Sorry if I didn't follow instructions.
Your mom's a 16 seed. Sorry if I didn't follow instructions.
I don't care as long as UNC is in the field of 68.
Is Illinois locked for the last #1 seed, or does an early exit in the BIG conference tournament drop them to a 2?
Kentucky gonna be a dangerous 14 seed.
Texas should be a 3 seed right now.
Could slip to 4 or could move up to 2.
Doesn't really matter too much right now
Could slip to 4 or could move up to 2.
Doesn't really matter too much right now
It just depends.
It may sound homerish of me, but there's a realistic possibility Iowa could steal a 1 seed if they were to win the BTT and beat the best teams possible in the process (Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan). That'd be 3 Quad 1 wins and give them 10 total for the year which would be just as many as Illinois, most likely.
If that all plays out, there's an argument to be made.
Ohio State is in a similar boat, but they'd need a little more to work in their favor to not get jumped by a Houston or someone else, or just have the committee remain with Illinois and Michigan as 1s despite Illinois not having won the regular season or conference tournament titles.........
Of course we can cross those bridges if (and when SmokinSmile) that happens.
Btw, Michigan is not exactly 100% safe thanks to their losses down the stretch.
Baylor and Gonzaga are the only locks at this point, with Michigan probably at 90% and Illinois at 75-80%.
Good call. I didn't do too deep a dive into every team's schedule, but Texas did sweep Kansas.
The 4-6 line is gonna have a lot of very solid teams that could play spoiler if higher teams don't bring their A game.
Truthfully should only have Quad 1 losses
But were missing half their team and ended up losing a close game to Oklahoma at home.
But even not being in the Top 30 losing to OU with half the team out isn't too bad.
Duke is going to win the ACCT and get awarded with a #1 seed, because well, they always get the easiest path.
Don't see how UVA gets a 3-seed unless we win the ACC tournament and probably have to beat FSU in the final to get there. I think we're most likely a 4-seed but could potentially slip to a 5 if we lose our first game in the ACCT to Cuse/NCSU. I also think we'll be a trendy first-round upset pick in a lot of brackets.
Should actually be the #1 overall seed, unless the tournament committee is completely corrupt.
Genuinely don’t think that gets it for you, in the Committee’s eyes. If Illinois makes it to Saturday, I think they give us the 1-seed.
I prefer we just beat you again to make it 110%, though.
Genuinely don’t think that gets it for you, in the Committee’s eyes. If Illinois makes it to Saturday, I think they give us the 1-seed.
I prefer we just beat you again to make it 110%, though.
Well, Joe W isn't playing Friday, so there is a good chance we don't make it to Sat
That sucks. However, I still think you can make it to Saturday, even without him.
We may opt out just to avoid Brad Davison injuring anymore of our players.....
How is there anyone still defending that clown? God, I bet he is the lamest dude alive at parties and stuff, haha.
Greg Gard is willing to die on that sword, apparently.......
He will be ok, but won't play Friday.
Fran is either lying, or is convince we are locked in as a #2 seed.
I would be ok losing to Wisconsin, which we probably will, and giving Joe another week off.
He is expected to play Sat if we make it
I don't think he's lying. Iowa is unlikely to move up to the one line or fall to the three line after the Big Ten Tournament. I would rest him as well.
Iowa does have some bad losses.
But Alabama and Arkansas are probably playing for a 2 seed
Arkansas doesn't have any bad losses. But good chance they trade places with Alabama.
Ohio State is probably the one who could drop if another team comes up from the three line.
Have to look closer at Iowa vs Ohio State
Because Iowa does have a lot of Quad 1 wins to go with their bad losses.
But Alabama and Arkansas are probably playing for a 2 seed
Arkansas doesn't have any bad losses. But good chance they trade places with Alabama.
Ohio State is probably the one who could drop if another team comes up from the three line.
Have to look closer at Iowa vs Ohio State
Because Iowa does have a lot of Quad 1 wins to go with their bad losses.
Arkansas doesn't have any Quad 2 losses.
Iowa does.
Houston is probably the most at risk
If Kansas, WVU or Texas win the Big 12 Tournament one of those teams will be pushed on the 2 line.
Good chance it would be with 2 or 3 Quad 1 wins.
If OU beats KU it will remove bad losses from Texas and WVU because OU is borderline Top 30
My take on the Big Ten seeds:
Michigan (1)- The Wolverines still have to take care of business in the BTT. They have more leeway than Illinois, because they won the toughest conference in America, but a Quarterfinals exit after losses to Illinois and Michigan State will at the very least give the committee a slight pause.
Illinois (1)- Also, in control of their own destiny, Illinois can pretty much secure a 1 seed by making it to the BTT Finals. With that said, the possibility absolutely exists for Illinois to lose that 1 seed with a poor Quarterfinal showing, or a loss to Iowa and/or a better conference tournament showing from someone like Houston or Alabama. Despite what Illinois fans, and some others would believe given the committee not always taking as much stock in conference tournament results (especially the Big Ten), there will be eyes on how the Illini (and Michigan) do in the BTT.
Iowa (2)- This brings us to the team with the best chance to steal a 1 seed. If Iowa wins the BTT by beating 3 Quad 1 teams, including Illinois (and Michigan) on a neutral court thus evening the season series, that may convince the committee to move them to the 1 line. It is definitely an uphill battle, though, for that to become a reality for Iowa, especially if they decide to rest Joe Weiskamp and save him for the NCAA Tournament.
As you'll notice with every other team, Iowa can still manage to drop a seed with a bad showing in its first game, and good enough showings from teams projected around them. Though, it's already been mentioned that Weiskamp's injury is probably something the committee will pay attention to going forward.
Ohio State (2)- The Buckeyes also have hope, however fleeting it has become, to reclaim their spot as a 1, but they need A LOT of things to go their way. Their best chance is a decent 2 seed, and much like Iowa, if two other Big Ten teams claim 1 seeds, they'll get stuck in either Baylor or Gonzaga's region. Ohio State does need to get off the optics of their 4 game losing streak though to solidify their 2 seed. Anything less than a semifinal appearance could have the Buckeyes looking at a 3 seed come Sunday.
Purdue (4)- The Boilermakers are probably the only team in the Big Ten that has nowhere to go but up. A loss in the BTT doesn't hurt them at all, and any wins only adds to their suddenly-good resume. Reaching the Finals could, and probably should earn Purdue a 3 seed.
Wisconsin (7)- The Badgers have struggled down the stretch despite being firmly in the tournament. A loss to Penn State, or worse Nebraska, could raise major concerns about the direction the former Big Ten champions are going. Wisconsin fans will probably argue that they're a 6 seed, and that's certainly possible, especially with a run in the BTT, but there's also the potential for other teams that are playing better down the stretch to move ahead of them. At best, Wisconsin could earn a 5 with a BTT title, and at worst they are an 8 seed with a loss to Nebraska (or maybe even Penn State).
Rutgers (9)- The Scarlet Knights are thanking their lucky stars for that survival in Minneapolis. That win all but assured them of a tournament bid, but they would benefit from wins in the BTT to maintain their seed. Right now, they are firmly in that 8-10 range, which can be a crap shoot to predict. I don't see them moving any further up off that 8/9, 7/10 line short of a deep run in the BTT.
Maryland (11)- I am not completely sure how the 11 seeds work in regards to who gets sent to the First Four, or if they're doing one 11 vs 11 and a 12 vs 12. I honestly don't know how that works from year to year. With all that said, as of right now I would lean toward Maryland still being an 11 seed in the field of 64, with Michigan State still in the First Four. Of course, Maryland did themselves no favors with that loss to Penn State, and I absolutely could see the argument made for MSU to be ahead of Maryland because of that win over Michigan. That is another storyline to watch later this week. I don't think Maryland will fall out of the tournament, but they can't be feeling good about their prospects after their performances of late.
Michigan State (11)- The Spartans are now firmly in the tournament with the win over Michigan. The question will be where will the committee choose to place them. For the longest time, they had floated around First Four Out to Last Four In status. Following the win over Michigan, that may have burst a few bubbles of teams in the same boat. MSU may be a lock, but that doesn't mean they've escaped the First Four matchup. Of course, given the committee's love for Tom Izzo over the years, we could see them overreact to MSU's recent success and seed them way higher than they've been projected for most of the season. It wouldn't surprise me to see the Spartans seeded as high as a 6 if they were to somehow win the BTT, which probably also means more bubbles burst if that were to happen.
Michigan (1)- The Wolverines still have to take care of business in the BTT. They have more leeway than Illinois, because they won the toughest conference in America, but a Quarterfinals exit after losses to Illinois and Michigan State will at the very least give the committee a slight pause.
Illinois (1)- Also, in control of their own destiny, Illinois can pretty much secure a 1 seed by making it to the BTT Finals. With that said, the possibility absolutely exists for Illinois to lose that 1 seed with a poor Quarterfinal showing, or a loss to Iowa and/or a better conference tournament showing from someone like Houston or Alabama. Despite what Illinois fans, and some others would believe given the committee not always taking as much stock in conference tournament results (especially the Big Ten), there will be eyes on how the Illini (and Michigan) do in the BTT.
Iowa (2)- This brings us to the team with the best chance to steal a 1 seed. If Iowa wins the BTT by beating 3 Quad 1 teams, including Illinois (and Michigan) on a neutral court thus evening the season series, that may convince the committee to move them to the 1 line. It is definitely an uphill battle, though, for that to become a reality for Iowa, especially if they decide to rest Joe Weiskamp and save him for the NCAA Tournament.
As you'll notice with every other team, Iowa can still manage to drop a seed with a bad showing in its first game, and good enough showings from teams projected around them. Though, it's already been mentioned that Weiskamp's injury is probably something the committee will pay attention to going forward.
Ohio State (2)- The Buckeyes also have hope, however fleeting it has become, to reclaim their spot as a 1, but they need A LOT of things to go their way. Their best chance is a decent 2 seed, and much like Iowa, if two other Big Ten teams claim 1 seeds, they'll get stuck in either Baylor or Gonzaga's region. Ohio State does need to get off the optics of their 4 game losing streak though to solidify their 2 seed. Anything less than a semifinal appearance could have the Buckeyes looking at a 3 seed come Sunday.
Purdue (4)- The Boilermakers are probably the only team in the Big Ten that has nowhere to go but up. A loss in the BTT doesn't hurt them at all, and any wins only adds to their suddenly-good resume. Reaching the Finals could, and probably should earn Purdue a 3 seed.
Wisconsin (7)- The Badgers have struggled down the stretch despite being firmly in the tournament. A loss to Penn State, or worse Nebraska, could raise major concerns about the direction the former Big Ten champions are going. Wisconsin fans will probably argue that they're a 6 seed, and that's certainly possible, especially with a run in the BTT, but there's also the potential for other teams that are playing better down the stretch to move ahead of them. At best, Wisconsin could earn a 5 with a BTT title, and at worst they are an 8 seed with a loss to Nebraska (or maybe even Penn State).
Rutgers (9)- The Scarlet Knights are thanking their lucky stars for that survival in Minneapolis. That win all but assured them of a tournament bid, but they would benefit from wins in the BTT to maintain their seed. Right now, they are firmly in that 8-10 range, which can be a crap shoot to predict. I don't see them moving any further up off that 8/9, 7/10 line short of a deep run in the BTT.
Maryland (11)- I am not completely sure how the 11 seeds work in regards to who gets sent to the First Four, or if they're doing one 11 vs 11 and a 12 vs 12. I honestly don't know how that works from year to year. With all that said, as of right now I would lean toward Maryland still being an 11 seed in the field of 64, with Michigan State still in the First Four. Of course, Maryland did themselves no favors with that loss to Penn State, and I absolutely could see the argument made for MSU to be ahead of Maryland because of that win over Michigan. That is another storyline to watch later this week. I don't think Maryland will fall out of the tournament, but they can't be feeling good about their prospects after their performances of late.
Michigan State (11)- The Spartans are now firmly in the tournament with the win over Michigan. The question will be where will the committee choose to place them. For the longest time, they had floated around First Four Out to Last Four In status. Following the win over Michigan, that may have burst a few bubbles of teams in the same boat. MSU may be a lock, but that doesn't mean they've escaped the First Four matchup. Of course, given the committee's love for Tom Izzo over the years, we could see them overreact to MSU's recent success and seed them way higher than they've been projected for most of the season. It wouldn't surprise me to see the Spartans seeded as high as a 6 if they were to somehow win the BTT, which probably also means more bubbles burst if that were to happen.
KU's outlook might change a bit with McCormack out for the Big 12 tourney due to Covid protocol.
If I were Bill, I'd just opt out. They obviously won't go far now and you're risking someone having to sit next week.
If I were Bill, I'd just opt out. They obviously won't go far now and you're risking someone having to sit next week.
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