March Madness Gambling

[ThreeTwaunMoore]

Anyone have some games they are confident in? I’ve sprinkled on a lot of games.

Creighton -5
Iowa ML
Furman +5
Houston -19
Arizona -14
ORU +6.5
Kent State +4.5
Kentucky ML
FAU +2
VCU +4
Lots of over/unders

Think I lost like every game last year so this should end well.

 

[IUBtown]

Looks like a repeat

 

[ThreeTwaunMoore]

Looks like a repeat

Ok smart guy who you got???

 

[IUBtown]

Ok smart guy who you got???

I tend to stay away from 1st weekend. Too much emotion can change the game and you can't measure that. Sweet 16 and on is when I start to look at games seriously to bet on.

 

[boilerzz]

ATS win pct for each seed in tourney games since 2005:

11 - .587
12 - .563
15 - .547
7 - .542
9 - .510
8 - .509
1 - .507
3 - .500
16 - .500
5 - .493
10 - .485
4 - .479
13 - .471
6 - .457
2 - .455
14 - .403

 

[boilerzz]

Fade the public in the NCAA Tournament? Since 2016, teams getting 60% or more of the bets have gone 56-80-5 (41%) ATS.

Public teams (+60% of bets) on 1st Round NCAA Tournament at @BetMGM

Thursday:
74% of bets on Arkansas -1.5
73% on Furman +5.5
73% on Louisiana +10.5
67% on Northwestern -1.5
63% on Houston -19.5
63% on UNC Ash +17.5
63% on PSU +3.5

Friday:
81% on VCU +4.5
74% on MSU -1.5
73% on Drake +4.5
72% on Kent St +4.5
71% on Creighton -5.5
70% on Memphis -2.5
68% on Vermont +10.5
67% on Gonzaga -15.5
65% on Kennesaw St +11.5
62% on Providence +4.5