MSU seems further along on offense and defense, but can never count out the home team. I think MSU is one of the better rebounding teams thus far, so if that is a weakness for Louisville - it will probably get exploited tonight.
Louisville doesn't seem to have a lot of height - is that correct? Malik Williams at 6'11" the tallest rotation player, but everyone 1-4 seems to be 6'6" or smaller.
If Ward plays smart tonight, he could cause issues for your bigs. He is great at drawing fouls, as long as they get called. If a few don't get called, he can get frazzles and start making dumb plays. He's been a lot better passing out of the post once a double team comes, but still has brain farts.
How are the Louisville guards? Quick twitch, drive to the hoop type players? Doesn't seem like anyone is a standout threat from 3 so far this season. Team as whole has made 39 3's, compared to 19 each for Cassius Winston and Josh Langford (who are both shooting over 45% so far this season).