ADVERTISEMENT

can someone explain how Ken Pom figures a team SOS

dragonhawk1855

Well-Known Member
Gold Member
Nov 8, 2018
12,440
3,669
113
Iowa's is 305 with them playing these
SIUE 313
ORU 172
DePaul 65

maybe someone who follows KP can explain it.
 
correction that is the BPI rankings, Kenpom is to confusing just to follow.
 
these SOS ratings are a joke. no way should any team that has played a top 75 team in the 1st 3 games be rated in the 300's.

KP adj defense is just as confusing. that's why I asked if any one could decypher them for me,
 
KenPom is more useful at the end of the season when it builds data
 
Honestly, you seem like a smart guy. I was hoping you'd give us your take on it all.
not when it comes to KP ratings. way to complicated. they just need to simplify their break downs of each catagory
Rankings. Offensive rating, Defensive rating, SOS not much else is needed
for me Iowa has played 1 team in the 313, 1 team 172 and 1 team @ 65th and yet there SOS is 311th by the BPI.

how can that be? that is why I asked. LIKE I said I don't understand KP rankings at all especially their adj defensive rating.
 
I assume the SOS isn't in a vacuum. It is fluid and compared not only to the teams you have played but who they have played as well and relative to all the other schedules in the country. I'm sure where they have played is important as well. This early it isn't that accurate anyway though. It isn't some average though so just looking at the fact you played x, y, and z and trying to assign a number doesn't work.
 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: IUfanBorden
JFC weve all played like 3 games...how about you wait until mid season where there's a decent body of work factored into his dataset.

This is like getting pissed about your preseason AP ranking.
 
gee all I asked was if someone could explain it to me,

for all I know they might be using last seasons team to figure this out
excuse the F*** OUT of me for asking about something I don't understand,
 
We don't know what the exact formula is because it's intellectual property. Suffice it to say Pomeroy uses a complicated algorithm, but the principles behind the formula are very understandable. It's points allowed per 100 possessions. He adjusts the points scored against according to the strength of the opponents. Obviously holding Delaware State to 50 points on 70 possessions isn't nearly as impressive if someone were to limit Michigan State to those same numbers . His formula is designed to adjust for that.

The sample size is too small at this point to really gather any meaningful information. Give it another two months, I would say.
 
That is a horrendous schedule. I’d wager most teams have played at least one top 50 team by now.
not many outside of Duke, Kentucky, MSU as they ussually have a major TV deal in the OOC. the OOC early on is play the cupcakes early, to get thing worked out.

in Iowa's case they have 3 new starters with the oldest being a JR. the schedule does ramp up in a couple weeks as they will play TT, then either Creighton or SDSU, then Syracuse, Michigan, Minnesota, ISU and Cincinnati,

so they do play a very tough schedule in the next month.
 
not many outside of Duke, Kentucky, MSU as they ussually have a major TV deal in the OOC. the OOC early on is play the cupcakes early, to get thing worked out.

in Iowa's case they have 3 new starters with the oldest being a JR. the schedule does ramp up in a couple weeks as they will play TT, then either Creighton or SDSU, then Syracuse, Michigan, Minnesota, ISU and Cincinnati,

so they do play a very tough schedule in the next month.

FSU and UF have already played each other. Ohio State and Cincy have played. Purdue has played Marquette and Texas. Seton Hall played Michigan State. Villanova played Ohio State. Tennessee and Washington played.

I really can't think of too many teams that haven't played a top 60 team at least. Your schedule may ramp up, but so far it has been complete trash.
 
FSU and UF have already played each other. Ohio State and Cincy have played. Purdue has played Marquette and Texas. Seton Hall played Michigan State. Villanova played Ohio State. Tennessee and Washington played.

I really can't think of too many teams that haven't played a top 60 team at least. Your schedule may ramp up, but so far it has been complete trash.
DePaul is from the BE and can very easily make the top 50, the BE Gavitt Games is a really good match up, stop belittling a BE Team to make yourself feel superior.

these are the teams you mention that also from the BE
Marquette
Seton Hall
Villanova
DePaul

and DePaul is 5-0 on the season who plays Minnesota on Nov 29th, then TT on the 4th of Dec. NW on Dec 21st. before the begin conference play.

nice try at bellyaching about the 1st 3 games.

last season Iowa played 5 teams in the 300+ range this year they have played 1, 1 in the 150-180 range and 1 in the 50- 70 range, Iowa's next opponent is N Florida who is #175. TT is #13, Creighton #40 or USDS # 71, Syracuse #51, Michigan #25, Minnesota #81, ISU #50 and Cincinnati #23 so STFU about the 2 of the 1st 3 games.
 
this is not last years team as they have 3 transfers playing this year that they didn't last year. also I still won't watch nor care.
the point still stands this is/was a game that was set up by the conferense head honcho's,

just like these in the LV Invitational Fran had no control over UNF and Cal Poly, as the LV Committee selects all the teams for the Tourney. the only thing that Fran had any say was whether Iowa would play in or not.
 
DePaul is from the BE and can very easily make the top 50, the BE Gavitt Games is a really good match up, stop belittling a BE Team to make yourself feel superior.

these are the teams you mention that also from the BE
Marquette
Seton Hall
Villanova
DePaul

and DePaul is 5-0 on the season who plays Minnesota on Nov 29th, then TT on the 4th of Dec. NW on Dec 21st. before the begin conference play.

nice try at bellyaching about the 1st 3 games.

last season Iowa played 5 teams in the 300+ range this year they have played 1, 1 in the 150-180 range and 1 in the 50- 70 range, Iowa's next opponent is N Florida who is #175. TT is #13, Creighton #40 or USDS # 71, Syracuse #51, Michigan #25, Minnesota #81, ISU #50 and Cincinnati #23 so STFU about the 2 of the 1st 3 games.

I’m not belittling any team. Your provided a statement about your team’s SOS and asked a question. You flat out stated that your best team was not top 75. All I did was answer your question.

Don’t ask for an answer and then be mad at the answers you receive.
 
I’m not belittling any team. Your provided a statement about your team’s SOS and asked a question. You flat out stated that your best team was not top 75. All I did was answer your question.

Don’t ask for an answer and then be mad at the answers you receive.
actually DePaul is #65. so that does not explain where is he comming up with SOS @ 303 play 1 @65, 1 @ 172 and 1 @ 313 that does not compute in my best robot voice,
what's he do put #'s on a board then throw darts?
 
actually DePaul is #65. so that does not explain where is he comming up with SOS @ 303 play 1 @65, 1 @ 172 and 1 @ 313 that does not compute in my best robot voice,
what's he do put #'s on a board then throw darts?

Because it’s not a simple average. You don’t just take the average of those 3. It’s compared to every other team in the country. And all the other teams have played better schedules.
 
Because it’s not a simple average. You don’t just take the average of those 3. It’s compared to every other team in the country. And all the other teams have played better schedules.
all 312 teams have played better schedules? yeah right. you are clearly delusional.
 
@dragonhawk1855
For the record, the calculation is actually fairly simple. There are really only two components:

AdjO - Opponent’s average adjusted offensive efficiency (per 100 posssessions)
AdjD - Opponent’s average adjusted defensive efficiency (per 100 possessions)

kenpom-sos.jpg


The strength of schedule is the AdjEM, which is simply your opponent's average adj offense - opponent's average adj defense (per 100 possessions).

So for Iowa, it's 95.8 - 101.7, which gives you -5.88 (numbers are underlined in the screenshot). That is #266 in the KenPom strength of schedule rankings. This number means that your opponents would be expected to lose to the average D-1 opponent by 5.88 points per 100 possessions.
 
  • Like
Reactions: GE Nole and jhmossy
@dragonhawk1855
For the record, the calculation is actually fairly simple. There are really only two components:

AdjO - Opponent’s average adjusted offensive efficiency (per 100 posssessions)
AdjD - Opponent’s average adjusted defensive efficiency (per 100 possessions)

kenpom-sos.jpg


The strength of schedule is the AdjEM, which is simply your opponent's average adj offense - opponent's average adj defense (per 100 possessions).

So for Iowa, it's 95.8 - 101.7, which gives you -5.88 (numbers are underlined in the screenshot). That is #266 in the KenPom strength of schedule rankings. This number means that your opponents would be expected to lose to the average D-1 opponent by 5.88 points per 100 possessions.
thx's but its still confusing has hell. but its more along the lines of what I asked for.
I like it simple W/O all the other mumbo jumbo. just put them in order from 1 thru 353, just like they are in how a team is ranked.

nice simple and straight forward,
 
thx's but its still confusing has hell. but its more along the lines of what I asked for.
I like it simple W/O all the other mumbo jumbo. just put them in order from 1 thru 353, just like they are in how a team is ranked.

nice simple and straight forward,

Go to KenPom's website and look under the Strength of Schedule columns. Click on the AdjEm column (the one which has Iowa's number at -5.88) - this will automatically rank the SOS from 1-353. You should see Northern Arizona at the top with an AdjEm of +26.45. To the right of that 26.45 number is their SOS ranking of 1. Elon has the second ranked SOS.
 
  • Like
Reactions: GE Nole
Go to KenPom's website and look under the Strength of Schedule columns. Click on the AdjEm column (the one which has Iowa's number at -5.88) - this will automatically rank the SOS from 1-353. You should see Northern Arizona at the top with an AdjEm of +26.45. To the right of that 26.45 number is their SOS ranking of 1. Elon has the second ranked SOS.

Exactly. They are in 1-353 order if you click on it.
 
Go to KenPom's website and look under the Strength of Schedule columns. Click on the AdjEm column (the one which has Iowa's number at -5.88) - this will automatically rank the SOS from 1-353. You should see Northern Arizona at the top with an AdjEm of +26.45. To the right of that 26.45 number is their SOS ranking of 1. Elon has the second ranked SOS.
thx's
 
  • Like
Reactions: dukedevilz
maybe they should wait till they have played 10 games each before posting these, it looks like 1 game can skew these rankings one way or another.

that is why I talk about Iowa's games coming up to get a idea of just where they sit,.

also it looks like they don't take into the tempo of teams into account on how that affects points scored,
if you have a team that avg's in the 80's and 90's that = more shots for their opponent. or more simple opportunities to score themselves vs a team that scores in the 50's and 60's does not provide the same opportunities to score more points.
 
maybe they should wait till they have played 10 games each before posting these, it looks like 1 game can skew these rankings one way or another.

that is why I talk about Iowa's games coming up to get a idea of just where they sit,.

also it looks like they don't take into the tempo of teams into account on how that affects points scored,
if you have a team that avg's in the 80's and 90's that = more shots for their opponent. or more simple opportunities to score themselves vs a team that scores in the 50's and 60's does not provide the same opportunities to score more points.

Tempo is absolutely factored in. That’s why it’s based on per 100 possessions.

Just don’t put too much emphasis on it before Mid December. Look at it as a teaser.
 
ADVERTISEMENT