I’ll be shocked if UNC makes it into the NCAA Tournament because the only way that I can see them making it into the tournament is if they somehow win the ACC Tournament and I don’t see that happening because at this point they’re probably going to have to win 4 games in 4 days and possibly even 5 games in 5 days to win the ACC Tournament and there’s only ever been one time that a team has won the ACC Tournament after playing 4 games in 4 days.Yeah, those odds are funky. No way should UNC have a 30% chance at an at-large bid. I would agree with NC State and Va Tech at having the best shot. I have NC State, VT, and UVA at 4-5-6 in my rankings. After that, it's kind of a 9-way tie for last.
I’ll be shocked if UNC makes it into the NCAA Tournament because the only way that I can see them making it into the tournament is if they somehow win the ACC Tournament and I don’t see that happening because at this point they’re probably going to have to win 4 games in 4 days and possibly even 5 games in 5 days to win the ACC Tournament and there’s only ever been one time that a team has won the ACC Tournament after playing 4 games in 4 days.
Objectively, there is no way FSU can be listed third in the ACC, unless there is bias involved
That moment when you have a win against #1 and a loss against #15... jumpingsmile1. FSU
2. Duke
3. Louisville
4. VT
5. ND
6. Virginia
7. Syracuse
8. Pitt
9. GT
10. UNC
11. Clemson
12. NC State
13. BC
14. Miami
15. Wake
That moment when you have a win against #1 and a loss against #15... jumpingsmile
That moment when you have a win against #1 and a loss against #15... jumpingsmile
Virginia is killing our RPI.
if you are counting on us as a good win, you are ****ed.
Gator fan biased against FSU? Say it ain’t so.
Ken pom must be a Gator then
because that poll has it in the same order I had.![]()
There’s more of the season to shake out, obviously. FSU still has UL at home and Duke on the road. They could go 0-2 in those games. I’d be very pleased with a split.I won't speak to the difference between Louisville and Duke out of a clear bias, but if it were a matter of matchups FSU is the clear number one in the ACC as of this writing. Their length, athleticism and depth are at the top of the league and they lead the league from the FT line which is always that thing that seems to get teams at the top beat when challenged in a tight game. The three game road win streak for Louisville and the emergence of David Johnson--and perhaps as importantly, the relegation of career bench players McMahon and Perry to a more customary 20 or so minutes instead of 30 plus--bridges one deficiency that Florida State and Kentucky put a spotlight on and that is just flat getting shot over at the guard positions. It looks like it is going to be Kimball who has proven to be a really good player in the clutch and Johnson getting those primary minutes in the backcourt from here on out for Louisville. Williamson's emergence has also been incremental.
Florida State is a big matchup issue for Duke, even moreso than they were for Louisville. But as others have posted in this thread the remainder of the league goes from varying states of meh and ich. Louisville's remaining league schedule is probably the most favorable versus that of Duke and FSU, but Louisville has to go to Tallahassee. It's a casting call for that fourth spot and I couldn't honestly tell anybody who mans it come Tourney time...or even if they are anything more than a Bubble team.
Objectively, there is no way FSU can be listed third in the ACC, unless there is bias involved
Here is where I think the distinction of ranking vs rating should come into play. I consider rank to be a fundamental, almost meat and potatoes, what have you done in the win and losses column. I don’t think that ranking and rating are the same thing. Ratings are a combination of statistics and whatever other measurements one can come up with, luck, to try and create a list of results. But as far as who has beaten who, and who they’ve lost to, FSU shouldn’t be ranked behind LouisvilleSure there is. KenPom has:
2. Duke
7. Louisville
16. Florida State
FSU has won a lot of close games. Which is certainly a sign of a good team. But they've been fortunate to pull off several wins. In the KenPom luck category, there are only 4 teams in the top 100 with a higher luck rating. Not saying FSU isn't a great team, they are. Just saying they could just as easily have 2-3 more losses on the year.
Here is where I think the distinction of ranking vs rating should come into play. I consider rank to be a fundamental, almost meat and potatoes, what have you done in the win and losses column. I don’t think that ranking and rating are the same thing. Ratings are a combination of statistics and whatever other measurements one can come up with, luck, to try and create a list of results. But as far as who has beaten who, and who they’ve lost to, FSU shouldn’t be ranked behind Louisville
Sure there is. KenPom has:
2. Duke
7. Louisville
16. Florida State
FSU has won a lot of close games. Which is certainly a sign of a good team. But they've been fortunate to pull off several wins. In the KenPom luck category, there are only 4 teams in the top 100 with a higher luck rating. Not saying FSU isn't a great team, they are. Just saying they could just as easily have 2-3 more losses on the year.
Hate it when you are rightI won't speak to the difference between Louisville and Duke out of a clear bias, but if it were a matter of matchups FSU is the clear number one in the ACC as of this writing. Their length, athleticism and depth are at the top of the league and they lead the league from the FT line which is always that thing that seems to get teams at the top beat when challenged in a tight game. The three game road win streak for Louisville and the emergence of David Johnson--and perhaps as importantly, the relegation of career bench players McMahon and Perry to a more customary 20 or so minutes instead of 30 plus--bridges one deficiency that Florida State and Kentucky put a spotlight on and that is just flat getting shot over at the guard positions. It looks like it is going to be Kimball who has proven to be a really good player in the clutch and Johnson getting those primary minutes in the backcourt from here on out for Louisville. Williamson's emergence has also been incremental.
Florida State is a big matchup issue for Duke, even moreso than they were for Louisville. But as others have posted in this thread the remainder of the league goes from varying states of meh and ich. Louisville's remaining league schedule is probably the most favorable versus that of Duke and FSU, but Louisville has to go to Tallahassee. It's a casting call for that fourth spot and I couldn't honestly tell anybody who mans it come Tourney time...or even if they are anything more than a Bubble team.
Sure there is. KenPom has:
2. Duke
7. Louisville
16. Florida State
FSU has won a lot of close games. Which is certainly a sign of a good team. But they've been fortunate to pull off several wins. In the KenPom luck category, there are only 4 teams in the top 100 with a higher luck rating. Not saying FSU isn't a great team, they are. Just saying they could just as easily have 2-3 more losses on the year.
I think Syracuse has a great chance to finish 4th
And FSU tried to give it away to ND. But they wouldn’t take it. Another tight rope act.
Gray had two major brain farts at the end. Felt like the refs swallowed their whistles on the last possession or two. But FSU pulled it out as they normally do in close games.
Gray had two major brain farts at the end. Felt like the refs swallowed their whistles on the last possession or two. But FSU pulled it out as they normally do in close games.
If you had told me before the game that Patrick Williams would miss due to injury, MJ Walker would miss much of first half due to injury, ND would attempt double the number of FTs FSU did (while also attempting more threes...), and Wyatt Wilkes played 19 minutes, I’d have told you to bet $1,000 on the Irish.
And yet FSU led by double digits throughout most of second half and somehow overcame a comedy of errors down the stretch to still win. I don’t know how he manages to get a different kid to step up every game, but damn if OL Bunny Colvin doesn’t make it happen.
See ya Tuesday, Mossy.
@UVA will be tough. I expect UVA.
You’re pretty pessimistic about every game we play@UVA will be tough. I expect UVA.
You’re pretty pessimistic about every game we play