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Meet your 2025 contenders for the National Championship

EvilMonkeyInTheCloset

Well-Known Member
Feb 25, 2008
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your closet, most likely......
Barring any Cinderella runs by mid majors, these are the teams in the major 5 college basketball conferences that have made their conference tournament Quarterfinals, thus meaning one of the teams from this list more than likely WILL win the National Championship:

ACC:
Duke
Louisville
Clemson
North Carolina

Big East:
St. John's
Creighton
UConn
Marquette
--------
Xavier

Big 10:
Michigan State
Maryland
Michigan
Wisconsin
--------
UCLA
Purdue
Illinois
Oregon

Big 12:
Houston
Texas Tech
Arizona
BYU
--------
Iowa State
Kansas
Baylor

SEC:
Auburn
Florida
Alabama
Tennessee
--------
Kentucky
Missouri
Mississippi
Texas
 
Last edited:
Most of you are probably thinking, well sh** that's half the field. And this is where we shrink it.

I listed all the teams that made their conference tournament's Qtrs, because there is statistically a chance that a team that made the Qtrs could go on to win.

But notice I also made a cut line.

Any team ABOVE that cut line means they made the Semifinals of their conference tournament, which means their hypothetical odds improve exponentially based on recent historical trends, and that shrinks the field down to just 24 contenders. And from there, the debate is up to you......
 
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Now we can shrink that list as the semifinals are all set:

ACC:
Duke */**
Louisville
Clemson
North Carolina

Big East:
St. John's */**
Creighton
UConn
Marquette

Big 10:
Michigan State *
Maryland
Michigan
Wisconsin

Big 12:
Houston */**
Texas Tech
Arizona
BYU

SEC:
Auburn*
Florida
Alabama
Tennessee
 
Last edited:
Now we can shrink that list as the semifinals are all set:

ACC:
Duke */**
Louisville
Clemson
North Carolina

Big East:
St. John's */**
Creighton
UConn
Marquette

Big 10:
Michigan State *
Maryland
Michigan **
Wisconsin

Big 12:
Houston */**
Texas Tech
Arizona
BYU

SEC:
Auburn*
Florida **
Alabama
Tennessee
Updated to reflect both the regular season and tournament champions, thus shrinking the potential list even more:

ACC- Duke
Big East- St. John's
Big Ten- Michigan State/Michigan
Big 12- Houston
SEC- Auburn/Florida
 
Last edited:
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The trends suggest otherwise.
Screenshot-20250316-090013-Chrome.jpg



12 of the last 22 National Champions didn't win their Conference Tournament. You could have stopped at the Semifinals.
 
Updated to reflect both the regular season and tournament champions, thus shrinking the potential list even more:

ACC- Duke
Big East- St. John's
Big Ten- Michigan State/Michigan
Big 12- Houston
SEC- Auburn/Florida
Bump.

These are the 7 most likely teams to win the national championship this year.

If you want to check on other metrics to shrink the list even more, such as off./def. efficiency, etc, go right ahead.
 
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