Disagree. Go look at who people on this board were picking for their
national champ, just days before the start of the season. Less than 3% of the posters on here said Duke. Then, go look at the
Final Four picks made two months before the start of the season. I'm the only one who picked Duke. The general sentiment on this board before the start of the season was, "Duke is always overrated."
Now, that being said, Duke could just as easily crap the bed and lose in the first weekend. Just feel like this team has a nice mixture of youth and veterans, not overly reliant on 1-2 guys, they play sound defense, and there are multiple good shooters, which is great for spacing. They have flaws, sure, but they have all the ingredients for making it to the Final Four.
On top of that, look at where Duke ranks in the computer models:
NET: 3
KenPom: 1
BPI: 1
Sagarin: 1
KPI: 1
Most Duke fans would even say that this team has exceeded expectations. I'm okay if Scott Drew, Lavall Jordan, or Anthony Grant, or someone else deserving is awarded NCOY. Just feel like K is often disregarded simply because he's expected to win.