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Proof this years tournament is wide open

Mgkcbb

Well-Known Member
Apr 2, 2016
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Today, the runaway overwhelming #1 overall seed in the tournament is only a 6.5 point favorite over a bubble team on a neutral floor. (Virginia Louisville)

Another overwhelming #1 seed is only a 6 point favorite over a team that wont be in the NIT (Xavier vs St Johns)

Another #1 seed contender is a 2 point favorite over a bubboe team not projected to make the field. (Kansas Ok State - injury does play a role here)


Literally, any decent team can get hot and win it all this year. If your team has a pulse, is healthy, and makes the tournament, you are very live to potentially witness them win it all.
 
This will be the most open the NCAA Tourney has been since well....a long damn time. For the record, there is no way KU is a #1 seed in either of the 4 regions. Purdue will have just as good a shot as any of the top seeds in playing in the Final Four as well as winning it all.
 
Out of curiosity, if Lunardi's Current Bracketology was the official Tournament Bracket, tell me who would have in the Elite 8 and the winners going forward. I don't have any big surprises, but I would go with this:

Elite 8-
(1) Virginia over (3) Tennessee
(4) Gonzaga over (2) Purdue
(2) Duke over (1) Villanova
(3) Michigan State over (4) Wichita State

Final Four-
(1) Virginia over (4) Gonzaga
(3) Michigan State over (2) Duke

Finals-
(3) Michigan State over (1) Virginia
One of Villanova or Duke won't make the elite 8, bank on that. Also I'm never picking MSU over Duke in the NCAA tournament or Virginia to make the title game.
 
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Out of curiosity, if Lunardi's Current Bracketology was the official Tournament Bracket, tell me who you would have in the Elite 8 and the winners going forward. I don't have any big surprises, but I would go with this:

Elite 8-
(1) Virginia over (3) Tennessee
(4) Gonzaga over (2) Purdue
(2) Duke over (1) Villanova
(3) Michigan State over (4) Wichita State

Final Four-
(1) Virginia over (4) Gonzaga
(3) Michigan State over (2) Duke

Finals-
(3) Michigan State over (1) Virginia
 
Out of curiosity, if Lunardi's Current Bracketology was the official Tournament Bracket, tell me who you would have in the Elite 8 and the winners going forward. I don't have any big surprises, but I would go with this:

Elite 8-
(1) Virginia over (3) Tennessee
(4) Gonzaga over (2) Purdue
(2) Duke over (1) Villanova
(3) Michigan State over (4) Wichita State

Final Four-
(1) Virginia over (4) Gonzaga
(3) Michigan State over (2) Duke

Finals-
(3) Michigan State over (1) Virginia


lol I'd love to be in a pool with you. talk about free money.
 
One of Villanova or Duke won't make the elite 8, bank on that. Also I'm never picking MSU over Duke in the NCAA tournament or Virginia to make the title game.

You're probably right. I can easily see Michigan taking us down. I'm not basing my picks off of history, though. And I do get a little apprehensive about picking UVA, but their region doesn't have too many contenders, IMO. So who would you take?

lol I'd love to be in a pool with you. talk about free money.

lol, ok. Honestly it's a crapshoot. I probably am WAY off on this. But who would your picks be, based off of Lunardi's current bracketology?
 
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One of Villanova or Duke won't make the elite 8, bank on that. Also I'm never picking MSU over Duke in the NCAA tournament or Virginia to make the title game.

Nova gonna lose to some random 8 seed in the second round again. Duke gonna lose in the first weekend or make the final 4. Michigan State will lose to a blue blood.
 
End of the day we will probably see one of the usual suspects cut down the nets. There will probably be at least one team that is an unusual name in the Final Four.

The last 7 Final Fours have had 8 teams that were a 7 seed or lower.... so yeah, I don't think it would be terribly surprising if we saw that again this year.

2017: 7 seed South Carolina
2016: 10 seed Syracuse
2015: 7 seed Michigan State
2014: 8 seed Kentucky, 7 seed UConn
2013: 9 seed Wichita State
2011: 11 seed VCU, 8 seed Butler
 
The last 7 Final Fours have had 8 teams that were a 7 seed or lower.... so yeah, I don't think it would be terribly surprising if we saw that again this year.

2017: 7 seed South Carolina
2016: 10 seed Syracuse
2015: 7 seed Michigan State
2014: 8 seed Kentucky, 7 seed UConn
2013: 9 seed Wichita State
2011: 11 seed VCU, 8 seed Butler

I mean an unusual name. Of the teams on your list only South Carolina, VCU and Butler qualify as teams that typically dont get that far. I would say the door is wide open for someone completely random to make it to San Antonio, I dont think we are going to see a new champion or anything like that. I would be shocked if the champ came from outside this pool of programs, Duke, UNC, Kentucky, KU, Arizona, Michigan State, Villanova, Michigan, Cincinnati, Ohio State. So yes, Xavier, Virginia, Gonzaga, Purdue, Wichita, Tennessee, Auburn, Texas Tech, and of course WVU I just wrote all of you off.
 
Arizona seems like the type of team that will get serious and take it all. But another Miller suspension might be required for this to happen.
 
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