OT: CEO of Mercedes Benz makes some predictions for our near (20 years) future

Discussion in 'College Football Soundoff' started by ivan brunetti, Jul 27, 2017.

  1. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    I don't agree with all of these but pretty interesting.

    • Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
    • Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world
    • Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.
    • Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
    • In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans.
    • So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain.
    • Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.
    • Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car.
    • It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 6 million miles (10 million km). That will save a million lives each year.
    • Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
    • Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.
    • Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
    • Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.
    • Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact.
    • Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can't last. Technology will take care of that strategy.
    • With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
    • Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood sample and you breath into it.
    • It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free. Goodbye, medical establishment.
    • 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing shoes.
    • Some spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.
    • At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home.
    • In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-storey office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.
    • Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?
    • If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century.
    • Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a small time.
    • Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all day on their fields.
    • Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labelled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
    • There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you're in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they're not.
    • Bitcoin may even become the default reserve currency ... Of the world!
    • Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably way more than 100.
    • Education: The cheapest smart phones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia. By 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart phone. That means, everyone has the same access to world class education.
    • Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child needs to learn at school in First World countries. There have already been releases of software in Indonesia and soon there will be releases in Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this summer. I can see enormous potential if we give the English app for free, so that children in Africa and everywhere else can become fluent in English and that could happen within half a year.
     
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  2. Fishin-4-a-Livin

    Fishin-4-a-Livin Well-Known Member
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    Is there anything about a flying car in that wall of text?


    That's one of my biggest disappointments in life, no flying cars.

    (And I'm talking about like the Jetsons, not some 3 wheeled, POS, death trap, car with wings)
     
  3. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    Maybe. Read to find out.

    [​IMG]
     
  4. Fishin-4-a-Livin

    Fishin-4-a-Livin Well-Known Member
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    I skimmed over it.

    Did not see this.....

    Disappointed again.

    [​IMG]
     
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  5. Toadman005Alabama

    Toadman005Alabama Well-Known Member
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    Nah. The Muslims will overtake us thanks to liberals and set us back 1,000 years. Kneel.
     
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  6. DeputyDodge

    DeputyDodge Well-Known Member
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    Sounds great, what are we going to do with all the people. I guess we have to figure out a way to tax the machines so we can all sit around and do nothing.
     
  7. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    There are plans to tax the machines of businesses and provide a basic subsistence income. A world of 5-10% rich and the rest not.
     
  8. maxpower024

    maxpower024 Well-Known Member
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    Sitting around doing nothing sounds awful. Also you would tax the owners of the machines not the machines themselves.
     
  9. DeputyDodge

    DeputyDodge Well-Known Member
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    Yes, I realize that it would be the business owners taxed and it would be awful. A new age of serfdom approaches!
     
  10. HuskerLivInTN

    HuskerLivInTN Well-Known Member
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  11. Green Haiku

    Green Haiku Well-Known Member
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    Sex robots, tell me about the sex robots.

    Pew pew pew pew pew.
     
  12. Fishin-4-a-Livin

    Fishin-4-a-Livin Well-Known Member
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    Hope I'm dead by the time Skynet goes online.
     
  13. HuskerLivInTN

    HuskerLivInTN Well-Known Member
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    Is Mercedes scared of Tesla?
     
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  14. sabanist

    sabanist Well-Known Member
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    Half that crap is just that. 2020 is only 3 years away. Self driving cars will still be pretty experimental, and people will not just abandon their cars because a self driving car is available all the sudden. It will take decades to implement. Lawyers will always be in business, they'll just find something else to sue you for.
     
  15. Fishin-4-a-Livin

    Fishin-4-a-Livin Well-Known Member
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    Yeah, he pretty much just called Volkswagen and Audi a bunch of pussies.
     
  16. HuskerLivInTN

    HuskerLivInTN Well-Known Member
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    lol...thats actually pretty epic
     
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  17. CowpokeU

    CowpokeU Bad Koalas Nuked *17*
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  18. gobucks0409

    gobucks0409 Well-Known Member
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    I thought that was about the 20 years from now. He said in 2020 the auto industry will start to get disrupted. While that is still probably exaggerated, self driving cars very well could be "common" by then.
     
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  19. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    20 years from now. Not 2020.
     
  20. HuskerLivInTN

    HuskerLivInTN Well-Known Member
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    Yea. there has to be a shakeup for sure. will be interesting times.. I might start a winery ...of course with robot farm hands...
     
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  21. MarineG8R

    MarineG8R Well-Known Member
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    No mention of solving the caries dilemma? Job Security!
     
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  22. volsboyinsodak3

    volsboyinsodak3 Well-Known Member
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    How do they decide who gets what and how much? I hope those that have worked all their lives get the lions share of the income.
     
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  23. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    There will be robots who can distinguish between perfectly ripe grapes and those that need another day on the vine. Wine will get better!
     
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  24. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    Nope. Everyone who gets a basic income gets enough to cover just the basics (basic healthcare, basic housing, basic food and basic clothing).
     
  25. volsboyinsodak3

    volsboyinsodak3 Well-Known Member
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    God I hope not. Whats the point of having a 911 Turbo if you can't drive it for yourself? Hopefully all of them will have the option of turning the auto-pilot off...lol
     
  26. HuskerinSFSD

    HuskerinSFSD Well-Known Member
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    I think much of this is accurate but his timeframes are absurd. I like the idea of insurance companies going broke. What a scam!
     
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  27. HuskerLivInTN

    HuskerLivInTN Well-Known Member
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    20 years we will replace dentin? What you think? Harvard is working on it I know.
    Unless..
    [​IMG]
     
  28. jtrain80

    jtrain80 Well-Known Member
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    I hope the aliens show up to help us with all that technology.
     
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  29. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    You can tell when there a huge profits in something when you see a shit ton of advertising.

    [​IMG]
     
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  30. pooods

    pooods Well-Known Member
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    I'll be good. I have invested heavily in these machines. You will begin seeing credit card operated versions in bowling alleys, gym locker rooms, and the UCF stadium.

    [​IMG]

    I have also installed this fending machine in th football training facility at GT.
    [​IMG]
     
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  31. hdglidr

    hdglidr Well-Known Member
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    when i was going thru boot camp in 1987 i was told the military would be paperless by the year 2000.

    i aint holding my breath on any of the bs copied by the op.
     
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  32. volsfan46

    volsfan46 Well-Known Member
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    3D printed teeth. Your out. Might as well join the rest of us poors on future govt assistance.
     
  33. Cackdiesel

    Cackdiesel Well-Known Member
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    And the people who qualify will continue to do basically nothing on a day to day basis.
     
  34. NoMoneyDown

    NoMoneyDown Well-Known Member
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    WTH is that pink thing in the middle on the right?
     
  35. MarineG8R

    MarineG8R Well-Known Member
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    I already mill crowns in office

    [​IMG]
     
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  36. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    Eh, some will and some won't. Same as those who get government help now.
     
  37. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    Have you seen those ads for the invisiline style braces? One trip to the dentist and the sets then come by mail. Like it or not, change is a comin'.
     
  38. MarineG8R

    MarineG8R Well-Known Member
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    I do those also. Still gotta see me.
     
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  39. BeatPitt

    BeatPitt Well-Known Member
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    It's a bunch of baloney. If we listened to the experts, we should have been 20 years into an ice age by now...
     
  40. ivan brunetti

    ivan brunetti Well-Known Member
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    Yup. But not as often as with the old school models.

    [​IMG]
     
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