TLDR
1. Purdue
2. UConn
3. Virginia
4. Bama
5. Arizona
6. Texas
7. Houston
8. Tennessee
9. Kansas
10. Baylor
11. Arkansas
12. Duke
13. UCLA
14. Maryland
15. Indiana
16. Gonzaga
17. Ohio State
18. Iowa
19. Kentucky
20. Miss State
21. West Virginia
22. Illinois
23. Va Tech
24. Memphis
25. Auburn
1. Purdue - they destroyed Gonzaga and Duke…they’ve had two games within 10 all year: a decent Marquette team and Nebraska on the road. They’ve been dominant with two of the top five wins on the year.
2. UConn - see Purdue with one less dominant win. The 15 point win vs Bama on a neutral site looks like the #2 win on the season right now.
3. Virginia - impressive wins vs Illinois & Baylor. At Michigan is also an impressive non-con win
4. Bama - #1 win on the season, lost to an elite team at a neutral site. They have an insane schedule coming up: Memphis and Gonzaga to finish up the first portion of their non-con
5. Arizona - the odd Utah game aside, they have the most dominant offense in CBB.
6. Texas - Lost to a pretty good Illinois team in OT. Arizona and Texas are interchangeable for me, but ‘Zona won Maui which gives them the nod for me.
7. Houston - Hard grade here. Computers love them because they kill the cupcakes…but they’ve played 4 teams with a pulse and are +14 with a 3-1 record. The only teams they’ve looked dominant against are garbage.
8. Tennessee - while I think they’re a bit inflated because of their Kansas win, you can’t overlook it. Their offense is dependent upon the other team messing up. Any time they have to pass backwards, you’ve won that possession. 70% assist rate with a sub 50% eFG. They have no ability to score in a set offense unless it’s a kick to a wide open shooter…and even then they’re shouting sub 30% from 3 in Q1/2.
9. Kansas - perhaps the best passing team in the country. If they can find a big to step up, they’ll be hard to beat come March. But that Tennessee game looked pretty rough. Tennessee had 2x TO - A and still won going away
10. Baylor - Two tough losses to Virginia and Marquette…but the best perimeter shooting team, IMO, in the country
11. Arkansas - Brazile was a huge loss, but they have three guards in NBA mock drafts, a center playing very efficient, and a stretch 4 McDAA just starting to find his role. Shooting is rough (mainly skewed by 1 player), but there aren’t many teams with 3 guards who can get a bucket whenever they want.
12. Duke - 2 losses to two good teams, but they also have also have 3 big wins. A lot like UCLA, but with more good wins.
13. UCLA - went 0-2 in the bigtime non-con tournament with UCLA, Virginia, Baylor, and Illinois…but those aren’t bad losses. Not sure what to feel about the Oregon and Stanford wins…but I don’t think they should be overly downgraded for playing good teams…like Bama, they have two bigtime games coming up.
14. Maryland - really excited for the game vs Tennessee. Lost a tough one at Wisconsin…but hard to win, there.
15. Indiana - Rutgers was an odd one and Arizona is just good. But when they get JHS back they’ll be just fine
16. Gonzaga - offense has looked bad, good scheduling, but they’re 3-3 against teams that would get an NCAAT (top 40) bid right now. Playing a hard schedule, but looking dominant doing it even though they have a lot coming back in terms of minutes played
17. Ohio State - Good team, but not sure on their offense. Two losses but they’re not bad losses.
18. Iowa - Great offense. But they’ve played two teams right now that would make the NCAAT right now and lost both games.
19. Kentucky - Really don’t get this team. Insane amount coming back, great pieces, but they have no identity. Nice win vs Michigan. But they’ve been put in the spotlight 3 times and have put up a stinker twice while also struggling with some of their cupcakes
20. Miss State - One of the worst schedules in CBB 351/363 per KP, but they’re undefeated. We’ll see how good they really are here shortly
21. West Virginia - Decent schedule with some borderline Q1 wins, but they’re 0-2 in the big games.
22. Illinois - a ton of talent, some great wins, but still 3 losses
23. Va Tech - Aside from an odd loss to Charleston on the road (may end up being a Q1 loss), they’ve looked good
24. Memphis - was split between them and Auburn here, but Memphis just won
25. Auburn - see above
1. Purdue
2. UConn
3. Virginia
4. Bama
5. Arizona
6. Texas
7. Houston
8. Tennessee
9. Kansas
10. Baylor
11. Arkansas
12. Duke
13. UCLA
14. Maryland
15. Indiana
16. Gonzaga
17. Ohio State
18. Iowa
19. Kentucky
20. Miss State
21. West Virginia
22. Illinois
23. Va Tech
24. Memphis
25. Auburn
1. Purdue - they destroyed Gonzaga and Duke…they’ve had two games within 10 all year: a decent Marquette team and Nebraska on the road. They’ve been dominant with two of the top five wins on the year.
2. UConn - see Purdue with one less dominant win. The 15 point win vs Bama on a neutral site looks like the #2 win on the season right now.
3. Virginia - impressive wins vs Illinois & Baylor. At Michigan is also an impressive non-con win
4. Bama - #1 win on the season, lost to an elite team at a neutral site. They have an insane schedule coming up: Memphis and Gonzaga to finish up the first portion of their non-con
5. Arizona - the odd Utah game aside, they have the most dominant offense in CBB.
6. Texas - Lost to a pretty good Illinois team in OT. Arizona and Texas are interchangeable for me, but ‘Zona won Maui which gives them the nod for me.
7. Houston - Hard grade here. Computers love them because they kill the cupcakes…but they’ve played 4 teams with a pulse and are +14 with a 3-1 record. The only teams they’ve looked dominant against are garbage.
8. Tennessee - while I think they’re a bit inflated because of their Kansas win, you can’t overlook it. Their offense is dependent upon the other team messing up. Any time they have to pass backwards, you’ve won that possession. 70% assist rate with a sub 50% eFG. They have no ability to score in a set offense unless it’s a kick to a wide open shooter…and even then they’re shouting sub 30% from 3 in Q1/2.
9. Kansas - perhaps the best passing team in the country. If they can find a big to step up, they’ll be hard to beat come March. But that Tennessee game looked pretty rough. Tennessee had 2x TO - A and still won going away
10. Baylor - Two tough losses to Virginia and Marquette…but the best perimeter shooting team, IMO, in the country
11. Arkansas - Brazile was a huge loss, but they have three guards in NBA mock drafts, a center playing very efficient, and a stretch 4 McDAA just starting to find his role. Shooting is rough (mainly skewed by 1 player), but there aren’t many teams with 3 guards who can get a bucket whenever they want.
12. Duke - 2 losses to two good teams, but they also have also have 3 big wins. A lot like UCLA, but with more good wins.
13. UCLA - went 0-2 in the bigtime non-con tournament with UCLA, Virginia, Baylor, and Illinois…but those aren’t bad losses. Not sure what to feel about the Oregon and Stanford wins…but I don’t think they should be overly downgraded for playing good teams…like Bama, they have two bigtime games coming up.
14. Maryland - really excited for the game vs Tennessee. Lost a tough one at Wisconsin…but hard to win, there.
15. Indiana - Rutgers was an odd one and Arizona is just good. But when they get JHS back they’ll be just fine
16. Gonzaga - offense has looked bad, good scheduling, but they’re 3-3 against teams that would get an NCAAT (top 40) bid right now. Playing a hard schedule, but looking dominant doing it even though they have a lot coming back in terms of minutes played
17. Ohio State - Good team, but not sure on their offense. Two losses but they’re not bad losses.
18. Iowa - Great offense. But they’ve played two teams right now that would make the NCAAT right now and lost both games.
19. Kentucky - Really don’t get this team. Insane amount coming back, great pieces, but they have no identity. Nice win vs Michigan. But they’ve been put in the spotlight 3 times and have put up a stinker twice while also struggling with some of their cupcakes
20. Miss State - One of the worst schedules in CBB 351/363 per KP, but they’re undefeated. We’ll see how good they really are here shortly
21. West Virginia - Decent schedule with some borderline Q1 wins, but they’re 0-2 in the big games.
22. Illinois - a ton of talent, some great wins, but still 3 losses
23. Va Tech - Aside from an odd loss to Charleston on the road (may end up being a Q1 loss), they’ve looked good
24. Memphis - was split between them and Auburn here, but Memphis just won
25. Auburn - see above