A couple weeks ago, I thought there were five really good teams in the ACC. And, per kenpom, that is still mostly true - the ACC has five teams in the top 20, more than any other conference. Now, all of these teams that stood above the rest are beginning to look pretty ordinary. It could be because the middle of the ACC is improving, or it could be because the top five aren't as good as we thought they were. Like most things, probably a little bit of both. This isn't a case of the top five teams beating each other up. Louisville has had a disastrous two weeks highlighted by losses to N.C. State and Syracuse, and of course the dismissal of Chris Jones. UNC is among the most bi-polar teams in the country - one night they're hanging 90 on Duke, the next they can't crack 50 against a mediocre N.C. State defense. Notre Dame lost at home tonight to Syracuse. Even Virginia has struggled to score points without Justin Anderson, and if he's unable to return, it's hard to envision them playing too deep into March. One thing we always have to acknowledge when watching college basketball is that these are mostly young players who develop at different rates. The N.C. State team of today probably isn't the same one that struggled OOC; sure, some of it is variance, but most of it is just guys getting better. I never thought I'd say this, but give credit to Gottfried. Syracuse has quietly strung together wins over Louisville and Notre Dame in recent weeks, Miami is always a tough out, and Pittsburgh has beaten North Carolina and Notre Dame. You could argue that there are nine tournament-caliber teams in this conference, but they all seem so up and down. I thought we'd see three or four teams from the ACC in the elite eight, possibly five in the sweet sixteen. Now I'm wondering if we'll see more than one or two. Thoughts?