I'll shamelessly give this its own thread so it doesn't get buried in the B10 thread by all the bickering between Michigan and MSU fans.....
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Quick look at each team's potential seeding as we progress through the Big Ten Tournament:
Illinois- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 4 seed.) Illinois is pretty solidly locked in as a 4 seed on most brackets, and can only go up from here, especially if they come out with a BTT title and get a little help along the way.
Projection: 2 seed
Wisconsin- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 3 seed) Most fully expect Wisconsin to end up on that 3 line regardless given the potential for others around them to climb, along with the loss to 10-win Nebraska fresh in everyone's minds (even though the committee is not supposed to have recency bias....) Barring a Finals run in the BTT, Wisconsin is probably gonna fall off that 2 line.
Projection- 3 seed
Purdue- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 4 seed) Purdue is another where the BTT can actually swing their fortunes one way or another. Its hard not to see the struggles they've had down the stretch even though they've only lost 6 games on the year. Purdue sits comfortably as a 3 seed right now, but an early exit in the BTT could open the door for other teams to pass them. Conversely, a return to form given their preseason expectations could see them claim that coveted 2 seed that is up for grabs between the top 3 teams in the Big Ten.
Projection- 3 seed
Iowa- (Best case: 5 seed, Worst case: 7 seed) Iowa probably has the simplest range to project here. Win today against Northwestern and they are guaranteed no worse than a 6 seed in the tournament. Lose and they will be a 7. In the unlikely case that they win the BTT, I don't think it will be enough to vault them all the way to a 4 seed unless they do so in very impressive fashion.
Projection- 6 seed
Ohio State- (Best case: 5 seed, Worst case: 7 seed) OSU is currently projected as a 6 seed, but they are definitely trending in the wrong direction. Much like Iowa, a loss today almost guarantees them the 7 seed. However, a win today doesn't necessarily assure them of keeping that 6.
Projection- 6 seed
Michigan State- Best case: 7 seed, Worst case: 10 seed) Unless the committee overcredits MSU/Izzo for winning the BTT, Sparty essentially will be using this tournament to decide whether they get to play a 2 seed or a 1 seed in the 2nd Rd.........Good luck!
Projection- 9 seed
Rutgers- (Best case: 8 seed, Worst case 11 seed) Rutgers fans need to stop worrying. You guys are in the dance. The main thing will be whether or not they do anything to improve their seeding. They will certainly have the opponents to boost their resume coming up.
Projection- 10 seed
Indiana- (Best case: 10 seed, Worse case: 12 seed)
With that comeback win over the Wolverines, Indiana should be in. A win over Illinois in the Qtrs will leave no doubt. In the meantime, Hoosiers fans should have their favorite hotel in Dayton on standby...........
Projection- 11/12 seed First Four
Michigan- (Best case: 11/12 seed First Four, Worst case: Out) At 17-14, regardless of what Michigan fans have heard, it is definitely nail-biting time. Depending on how things shake out with the remaining conference tournaments, Michigan could be in that other "Last Four In" game joining the Hoosiers in Dayton.
Projection- 11/12 seed First Four
** I put down 11/12 for the First Four but is it known which seeds are gonna be determined in those FF games? I see the 12 seeds are projected on Lunardi's bracket, but Jerry Palm has an 11/11 and a 12/12 game...............
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Quick look at each team's potential seeding as we progress through the Big Ten Tournament:
Illinois- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 4 seed.) Illinois is pretty solidly locked in as a 4 seed on most brackets, and can only go up from here, especially if they come out with a BTT title and get a little help along the way.
Projection: 2 seed
Wisconsin- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 3 seed) Most fully expect Wisconsin to end up on that 3 line regardless given the potential for others around them to climb, along with the loss to 10-win Nebraska fresh in everyone's minds (even though the committee is not supposed to have recency bias....) Barring a Finals run in the BTT, Wisconsin is probably gonna fall off that 2 line.
Projection- 3 seed
Purdue- (Best case: 2 seed, Worst case: 4 seed) Purdue is another where the BTT can actually swing their fortunes one way or another. Its hard not to see the struggles they've had down the stretch even though they've only lost 6 games on the year. Purdue sits comfortably as a 3 seed right now, but an early exit in the BTT could open the door for other teams to pass them. Conversely, a return to form given their preseason expectations could see them claim that coveted 2 seed that is up for grabs between the top 3 teams in the Big Ten.
Projection- 3 seed
Iowa- (Best case: 5 seed, Worst case: 7 seed) Iowa probably has the simplest range to project here. Win today against Northwestern and they are guaranteed no worse than a 6 seed in the tournament. Lose and they will be a 7. In the unlikely case that they win the BTT, I don't think it will be enough to vault them all the way to a 4 seed unless they do so in very impressive fashion.
Projection- 6 seed
Ohio State- (Best case: 5 seed, Worst case: 7 seed) OSU is currently projected as a 6 seed, but they are definitely trending in the wrong direction. Much like Iowa, a loss today almost guarantees them the 7 seed. However, a win today doesn't necessarily assure them of keeping that 6.
Projection- 6 seed
Michigan State- Best case: 7 seed, Worst case: 10 seed) Unless the committee overcredits MSU/Izzo for winning the BTT, Sparty essentially will be using this tournament to decide whether they get to play a 2 seed or a 1 seed in the 2nd Rd.........Good luck!
Projection- 9 seed
Rutgers- (Best case: 8 seed, Worst case 11 seed) Rutgers fans need to stop worrying. You guys are in the dance. The main thing will be whether or not they do anything to improve their seeding. They will certainly have the opponents to boost their resume coming up.
Projection- 10 seed
Indiana- (Best case: 10 seed, Worse case: 12 seed)
With that comeback win over the Wolverines, Indiana should be in. A win over Illinois in the Qtrs will leave no doubt. In the meantime, Hoosiers fans should have their favorite hotel in Dayton on standby...........
Projection- 11/12 seed First Four
Michigan- (Best case: 11/12 seed First Four, Worst case: Out) At 17-14, regardless of what Michigan fans have heard, it is definitely nail-biting time. Depending on how things shake out with the remaining conference tournaments, Michigan could be in that other "Last Four In" game joining the Hoosiers in Dayton.
Projection- 11/12 seed First Four
** I put down 11/12 for the First Four but is it known which seeds are gonna be determined in those FF games? I see the 12 seeds are projected on Lunardi's bracket, but Jerry Palm has an 11/11 and a 12/12 game...............