dukedevilz said:

The gap is closing. The crop of freshmen we have this year is very, very good. And I would argue it's partly because they weren't precluded from summer tournaments like other recent classes were. Also, there will be no more free COVID year of eligibility. That means teams will have a smaller pool of players to pick from in the transfer portal - and that will also necessitate freshmen as rotation players in more and more lineups.



You're looking at the wrong list. I'm talking about his preseason projections; I included the top 18 teams in a screenshot.

And yes, he totally got some teams wrong like UNC and Missouri. But, so did everyone. Without doing a deep dive, I'd say his projections are more accurate than the preseason AP Poll.

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954gator said:

Talent is going to be much harder to realize with the crazy transfer portal. Solid old guys are going to win vs "talented" freshman for the most part save the very very top guys.

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rdgtr said:

No.

Teams that Tarvik got totally wrong:

#1 UConn: 18-9 (10-6)
After dominating the Big East for two straight years, the Huskies have been surpassed by Rick Pitino's St John Storm.
#13 Georgetown: 16-11 (7-9) <-- below 0.500 in BE


Overrated ACC teams are now NCAA bubble teams or out:
#4 Virginia: 13-14 (6-10) <-- below 0.500 in the ACC
#5 North Carolina: 17-11 (10-6)
#12 Wake Forrest: 19-8 (11-5)
#20 Syracuse: 11-16 (5-11) <-- below 0.500
#26 Miami: 6-21 (2-14) -- Last in the ACC

Overrated Big "Ten" teams - not even NCAA bubble teams:
#3 Indiana: 16-11 (7-9)
#16 Penn St: 15-13 (5-12)
#22 Ohio St: 15-13 (7-10)

Indiana, Penn ST & Ohio St may have made the 2024 college football playoffs but all of these programs suck in basketball today!

Ditto for the Georgia Bulldogs!
Ditto for the Notre Dame Irish (12-15, 6-10)!
I guess these 2024-CFP-teams used up all of their 'NIL'-money on their football teams
and have nothing to show for their basketball teams.

The Tennessee Vols were the only program to have a top 12 football team
and a top 12 basketball team on that list. Good going!
The Vols were the only program to both walk & chew gum at the same time!

====================================================================
Can't forget Tarvik's top SEC (2025) pre-season projections:
No SEC teams were in Tarviks preseason Top 10 until
#17 Texas AM, love the aggies so much that Tarvik also has them at #35!
#18 Arkansas: 16-11 (5-9)
#21 Georgia: 16-11 (4-10)
#33 Tennessee (at least the vols were mentioned)
#32 Ole Miss
#36 Miss St
# 41 Kentucky
#43 Missouri
#44 LSU
#49 S. Carolina
---------------------------------------------------------------
Didn't Alabama make the 2024 Final4?
Didn't Auburn & Florida play for the 2024 SEC title, with AU winning it?
AU, AL & FL were not even good enough for the preseason top 50?
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In the current Kenpom & NCAA NET, four of the top six teams are SEC:
Wk16-AP Poll of SEC teams (8 SEC teams ranked):
#1 Auburn,
#2 Florida,
#4 Alabama,
#6 Tennessee,
#7 Texas AM
#17 Kentucky
#21 Mississippi St
#24 Mississippi

Basketball :: College Poll Tracker :: Breaking down college polls every week of the season.

collegepolltracker.com

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